Football · Finland Kolmonen · 30/07, 18:00

Prediction: SIF vs FC Kiisto

Team pages: SIF · FC Kiisto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

SIF1.48

FC Kiisto1.7

1X2

33% 24% 43%

SIF Draw FC Kiisto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SIF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDDWWW

FC Kiisto 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLWWDL

Head-to-head

SIF 0–2–4 FC Kiisto (6 last)

FC Kiisto3-2SIF
FC Kiisto2-1SIF
SIF1-2FC Kiisto
FC Kiisto3-3SIF
FC Kiisto1-1SIF
SIF2-4FC Kiisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SIF 1518 · FC Kiisto 1564

	SIF	Draw	FC Kiisto
Our model	32%	25%	42%
Market	34%	22%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1518 vs 1564).
H2H favours FC Kiisto: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SIF	FC Kiisto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X4.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:02 +4’	2.63	4.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SIF 0–2–4 FC Kiisto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	3-2 HT 1-2	SIF
17/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	2-1 HT 2-1	SIF
23/04/25 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	1-2	FC Kiisto
15/06/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	3-3 HT 1-1	SIF
21/06/23 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	1-1 HT 0-0	SIF
02/10/22 Finland Kolmonen	SIF	2-4 HT 0-2	FC Kiisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	13	11	1	1	47	9	34
2	FC Kiisto	13	8	3	2	34	15	27
3	FC Ylivieska	13	7	1	5	38	29	22
4	SIF	13	6	3	4	26	18	21
5	Virkia	12	6	2	4	37	16	20
6	SJK-j	13	5	3	5	30	21	18
7	VPV Pallo-Veikot	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
8	Nykarleby IK	13	4	4	5	17	30	16
9	Sporting Kristina	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
10	KPV Akatemia	12	3	1	8	29	39	10
11	LBK	13	3	1	9	16	34	10
12	Sääripotku	11	0	1	10	4	69	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SIF	FC Kiisto
LBK	2-0 W	5-0 W
Sporting Kristina	2-1 W	2-1 W
KPV Akatemia	3-2 W	4-4 D
VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-1 D	2-0 W
Virkia	0-3 L	3-3 D
FC Ylivieska	1-2 L	0-1 L
Nykarleby IK	2-0 W	0-0 D
Sääripotku	5-0 W	2-0 W
VIFK	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SIF

LWWLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
10/07	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
01/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	1	W
25/06	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
17/06	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
11/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
04/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
28/05	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
22/05	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
16/05	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	2	7	L

FC Kiisto

WDWWDLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	15	3	L
16/07	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
03/07	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
25/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-3	2	1	D
10/06	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
04/06	LBK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	5-0	4	5	W
26/05	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	0-3	4-4	4	3	D
19/05	VPV Pallo-Veikot Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SIF vs FC Kiisto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kiisto win (43%). Probabilities: SIF 33%, draw 24%, FC Kiisto 43%.

How many goals are expected in SIF vs FC Kiisto?

The model expects 3.18 goals (SIF 1.48 · FC Kiisto 1.7), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SIF vs FC Kiisto?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.