Football · China Division 2 · 01/08, 13:30

Prediction: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shenzhen 2028

Team pages: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic · Shenzhen 2028

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.58

Shenzhen 20281

1X2

50% 28% 23%

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Draw Shenzhen 2028

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Shenzhen 2028 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0–3 Shenzhen 2028 (3 last)

Shenzhen 20282-1Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic0-1Shenzhen 2028
Shenzhen 20282-1Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1539 · Shenzhen 2028 1568

	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Draw	Shenzhen 2028
Our model	50%	28%	23%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shenzhen 2028: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Shenzhen 2028
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.1	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:11 +2’	1.80	3.25	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0–0–3 Shenzhen 2028

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Division 2	Shenzhen 2028	2-1 HT 1-0	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
27/07/25 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	0-1 HT 0-0	Shenzhen 2028
16/05/25 China Division 2	Shenzhen 2028	2-1 HT 2-0	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	17	11	1	5	26	13	34
2	Shenzhen 2028	18	9	6	3	30	22	33
3	Hubei Istar	17	8	6	3	26	18	30
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	18	6	7	5	17	18	25
5	Xiamen Feilu	18	6	7	5	26	21	25
6	Jiangxi Lushan	17	7	4	6	20	16	25
7	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	18	5	9	4	18	24	24
8	Guangdong Mingtu	18	4	9	5	19	19	21
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	18	5	5	8	18	23	20
10	Wenzhou FC	17	3	7	7	11	19	16
11	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	18	3	6	9	10	20	15
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	18	2	7	9	12	20	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	Shenzhen 2028
Ganzhou Ruishi	3-0 W	0-3 L
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-0 W	1-1 D
Jiangxi Lushan	1-2 L	2-1 W
Hubei Istar	0-2 L	2-1 W
Guangdong Mingtu	0-0 D	2-2 D
Xiamen Feilu	1-0 W	0-0 D
Guangzhou Dandelion	2-0 W	3-1 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	2-1 W	1-0 W
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	7-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
19/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
27/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
23/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/05	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
22/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	3-0	7-0	2	5	W
09/05	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	4	L

Shenzhen 2028

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
18/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/07	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
05/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
28/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
24/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
20/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
14/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
26/05	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/05	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	0-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shenzhen 2028?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (50%). Probabilities: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 50%, draw 28%, Shenzhen 2028 23%.

How many goals are expected in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shenzhen 2028?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.58 · Shenzhen 2028 1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Shenzhen 2028?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.