Football · South Korea K League 1 · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC

Team pages: FC Seoul · Gangwon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

FC Seoul1.79

Gangwon FC0.93

1X2

57% 25% 18%

FC Seoul Draw Gangwon FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Seoul 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLWLW

Gangwon FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDDLDW

Head-to-head

FC Seoul 3–2–1 Gangwon FC (6 last)

FC Seoul0-0Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC1-2FC Seoul
FC Seoul4-2Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC3-2FC Seoul
FC Seoul1-1Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC0-1FC Seoul

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Seoul (rating 1550 vs 1476).
H2H favours FC Seoul: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Seoul	Gangwon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.81

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.82▼	Pinn 1.82
X	3.46 → 3.54▲	Pinn 3.54
2	4.24 → 4.41▲	Pinn 4.41

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:48 +36’	1.83	3.46	4.24
10:42 +56’	1.85▲	3.50▲	4.30▲
15:23 +86’	1.82▼	3.54▲	4.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 3–2–1 Gangwon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	0-0 HT 0-0	Gangwon FC
25/04/26 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Seoul
26/10/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	4-2 HT 0-1	Gangwon FC
13/09/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Seoul
17/06/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-1 HT 0-1	Gangwon FC
15/03/25 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Seoul

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	32	20	6	6	60	28	66
2	Ulsan HD	32	15	5	12	50	45	50
3	Jeonbuk Motors	32	12	11	9	42	32	47
4	Gangwon FC	32	11	14	7	39	29	47
5	Daejeon Hana Citizen	32	12	10	10	51	40	46
6	Jeju SK	32	12	10	10	38	34	46
7	Incheon Utd	32	11	10	11	40	34	43
8	FC Anyang	32	10	12	10	39	47	42
9	Pohang Steelers	32	11	8	13	28	37	41
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	32	5	19	8	32	39	34
11	Bucheon	32	7	11	14	32	44	32
12	Gwangju FC	32	2	12	18	27	69	18

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Seoul	Gangwon FC
Jeju SK	2-1 W	0-1 L
Pohang Steelers	1-2 L	0-0 D
Jeonbuk Motors	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ulsan HD	0-1 L	3-2 W
Incheon Utd	1-0 W	0-0 D
Gwangju FC	5-2 W	2-2 D
Bucheon	1-0 W	2-0 W
FC Anyang	7-0 W	3-0 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Seoul

DWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
20/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
05/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
25/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
22/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	5-0	7-0	4	5	W
15/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-1	4-2	5	6	W
08/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Gangwon FC

LWDDWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
27/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/09	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/09	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
09/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
06/09	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-0	2	0	W
30/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
26/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	2-2	12	3	D
16/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
01/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (57%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 57%, draw 25%, Gangwon FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (FC Seoul 1.79 · Gangwon FC 0.93), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.