Prediction: Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK
Team pages: Pohang Steelers · Jeju SK
- Jeju SK1-2Pohang Steelers
- Jeju SK2-1Pohang Steelers
- Pohang Steelers0-2Jeju SK
- Pohang Steelers1-0Jeju SK
- Pohang Steelers2-1Jeju SK
- Jeju SK2-0Pohang Steelers
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Jeju SK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeju SK (rating 1439 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pohang Steelers | Jeju SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pohang Steelers 3–0–3 Jeju SK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Pohang Steelers |
| 18/07/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Pohang Steelers |
| 11/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Jeju SK |
| 21/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 21/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 20/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pohang Steelers |
Standings · South Korea K League 1 · K-League 1 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeju SK | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 46 |
| 2 | FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 48 | 43 |
| 3 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 42 |
| 4 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 34 |
| 5 | Bucheon | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 32 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 69 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pohang Steelers | Jeju SK |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Utd | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Seoul | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Gangwon FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Bucheon | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Jeju SK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pohang Steelers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/08 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Jeju SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 18/10 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pohang Steelers win (35%). Probabilities: Pohang Steelers 35%, draw 30%, Jeju SK 34%.
How many goals are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Pohang Steelers 1.18 · Jeju SK 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pohang Steelers vs Jeju SK?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.