Football · South Korea K League 1 · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

Team pages: Jeonbuk Motors · Daejeon Hana Citizen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Jeonbuk Motors1.43

Daejeon Hana Citizen1.34

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Jeonbuk Motors Draw Daejeon Hana Citizen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Jeonbuk Motors 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDLDLWD

Daejeon Hana Citizen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Jeonbuk Motors 4–1–1 Daejeon Hana Citizen (6 last)

Daejeon Hana Citizen2-1Jeonbuk Motors
Jeonbuk Motors0-0Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen0-1Jeonbuk Motors
Jeonbuk Motors2-0Daejeon Hana Citizen
Jeonbuk Motors3-1Daejeon Hana Citizen
Jeonbuk Motors1-0Daejeon Hana Citizen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors 1534 · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1538

	Jeonbuk Motors	Draw	Daejeon Hana Citizen
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jeonbuk Motors	Daejeon Hana Citizen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.41
2	2.45 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.80 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +10’	2.55	3.40	2.45
08:09 +1’	2.45▼	3.40	2.55▲
11:06 +15’	2.38▼	3.40	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:08 +6’	2.44	3.42	2.79
13:47 +25’	2.60▲	3.46▲	2.66▼
11:01 +10’	2.63▲	3.41▼	2.66
04:05 +3’	2.50▼	3.41	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors 4–1–1 Daejeon Hana Citizen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/10/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-1 HT 0-1	Jeonbuk Motors
21/07/26 South Korea K League 1	Jeonbuk Motors	0-0 HT 0-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen
21/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	0-1 HT 0-1	Jeonbuk Motors
21/02/26 Other Match	Jeonbuk Motors	2-0 HT 1-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen
08/11/25 South Korea K League 1	Jeonbuk Motors	3-1 HT 0-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen
13/09/25 South Korea K League 1	Jeonbuk Motors	1-0 HT 0-0	Daejeon Hana Citizen

Standings · South Korea K League 1 · K-League 1 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	33	20	7	6	61	29	67
2	Ulsan HD	33	15	6	12	52	47	51
3	Daejeon Hana Citizen	33	13	10	10	53	41	49
4	Jeonbuk Motors	33	12	12	9	43	33	48
5	Gangwon FC	33	11	15	7	40	30	48
6	Incheon Utd	33	12	10	11	43	35	46

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jeonbuk Motors	Daejeon Hana Citizen
FC Anyang	1-1 D	3-2 W
Jeju SK	3-2 W	1-3 L
Gwangju FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
FC Seoul	1-2 L	2-4 L
Pohang Steelers	2-0 W	2-2 D
Incheon Utd	1-1 D	1-1 D
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Ulsan HD	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jeonbuk Motors

WDDWDLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
18/10	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-1	3-2	2	4	W
09/10	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
20/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
12/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-2	1	1	L
09/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
30/08	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
25/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
22/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Daejeon Hana Citizen

LWLWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/10	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	3-2	9	3	W
09/10	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
20/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	11	3	D
09/09	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	3-2	6	2	W
05/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
30/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-4	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeonbuk Motors win (38%). Probabilities: Jeonbuk Motors 38%, draw 27%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 35%.

How many goals are expected in Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Jeonbuk Motors 1.43 · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.