Football · South Korea K League 1 · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Ulsan HD vs Pohang Steelers

Team pages: Ulsan HD · Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Ulsan HD1.52

Pohang Steelers1.02

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Ulsan HD Draw Pohang Steelers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ulsan HD 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWWLLW

Pohang Steelers 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLDDWL

Head-to-head

Ulsan HD 1–3–2 Pohang Steelers (6 last)

Pohang Steelers0-2Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD0-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-1Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD1-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-0Ulsan HD
Pohang Steelers1-1Ulsan HD

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pohang Steelers: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ulsan HD	Pohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.99

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.98 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.00
X	3.58 → 3.62▲	Pinn 3.62
2	3.53 → 3.57▲	Pinn 3.57

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:41 +42’	1.98	3.58	3.53
10:46 +53’	2.00▲	3.62▲	3.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan HD 1–3–2 Pohang Steelers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	0-2 HT 0-0	Ulsan HD
02/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Ulsan HD	0-1 HT 0-0	Pohang Steelers
13/09/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-1 HT 1-1	Ulsan HD
05/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Ulsan HD	1-1 HT 1-1	Pohang Steelers
29/03/25 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-0 HT 0-0	Ulsan HD
30/11/24 South Korea Cup	Pohang Steelers	1-1 HT 0-1	Ulsan HD

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	32	20	6	6	60	28	66
2	Ulsan HD	32	15	5	12	50	45	50
3	Jeonbuk Motors	32	12	11	9	42	32	47
4	Gangwon FC	32	11	14	7	39	29	47
5	Daejeon Hana Citizen	32	12	10	10	51	40	46
6	Jeju SK	32	12	10	10	38	34	46
7	Incheon Utd	32	11	10	11	40	34	43
8	FC Anyang	32	10	12	10	39	47	42
9	Pohang Steelers	32	11	8	13	28	37	41
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	32	5	19	8	32	39	34
11	Bucheon	32	7	11	14	32	44	32
12	Gwangju FC	32	2	12	18	27	69	18

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ulsan HD	Pohang Steelers
Bucheon	2-1 W	0-3 L
Gwangju FC	3-4 L	2-1 W
Incheon Utd	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Seoul	1-0 W	2-1 W
Jeju SK	0-0 D	2-1 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	3-1 W	0-0 D
Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-2 L	2-2 D
Jeonbuk Motors	0-1 L	0-2 L
Gangwon FC	2-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ulsan HD

LLLWDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
11/10	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	2-2	3-4	1	1	L
19/09	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
12/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
08/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
05/09	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
29/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
26/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
22/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
16/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-3	3	3	L

Pohang Steelers

LWLWDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-3	0-3	11	2	L
20/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	1	3	D
09/09	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
30/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
25/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
22/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
15/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ulsan HD vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulsan HD win (48%). Probabilities: Ulsan HD 48%, draw 28%, Pohang Steelers 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ulsan HD vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Ulsan HD 1.52 · Pohang Steelers 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ulsan HD vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.