Football · South Korea K League 1 · 24/10, 07:00
Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Jeju SK
Team pages: Incheon Utd · Jeju SK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Incheon Utd1.41
Jeju SK0.91
1X2
Incheon Utd
Draw
Jeju SK
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Incheon Utd
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Jeju SK
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Incheon Utd
2–1–3
Jeju SK
(6 last)
- Jeju SK3-3Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd1-0Jeju SK
- Incheon Utd1-2Jeju SK
- Jeju SK0-1Incheon Utd
- Jeju SK1-0Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd0-1Jeju SK
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jeju SK: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Utd | Jeju SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 2–1–3 Jeju SK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Incheon Utd |
| 25/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 19/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
| 10/08/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 26/06/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju SK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 06/04/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju SK |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 50 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 47 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 47 |
| 5 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 40 | 46 |
| 6 | Jeju SK | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 46 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 39 | 47 | 42 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 41 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 32 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 44 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 27 | 69 | 18 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Utd | Jeju SK |
|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Gangwon FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Bucheon | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Gwangju FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Jeju SK (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Jeju SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Jeju SK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (47%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 47%, draw 30%, Jeju SK 23%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Jeju SK?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Incheon Utd 1.41 · Jeju SK 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Jeju SK?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.