Football · South Korea K League 1 · 24/10, 07:00
Prediction: Bucheon vs Gwangju FC
Team pages: Bucheon · Gwangju FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Bucheon1.59
Gwangju FC1.21
1X2
Bucheon
Draw
Gwangju FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bucheon
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Gwangju FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bucheon
2–1–3
Gwangju FC
(6 last)
- Bucheon0-0Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC0-1Bucheon
- Bucheon1-2Gwangju FC
- Gwangju FC2-0Bucheon
- Bucheon2-3Gwangju FC
- Bucheon2-1Gwangju FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gwangju FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bucheon | Gwangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bucheon 2–1–3 Gwangju FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 11/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gwangju FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 27/08/25 South Korea Cup | Bucheon | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
| 20/08/25 South Korea Cup | Gwangju FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Bucheon |
| 19/06/24 South Korea Cup | Bucheon | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Gwangju FC |
| 30/08/22 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gwangju FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 50 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 47 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 47 |
| 5 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 40 | 46 |
| 6 | Jeju SK | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 46 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 39 | 47 | 42 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 37 | 41 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 32 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 44 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 32 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 27 | 69 | 18 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bucheon | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Gangwon FC | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Jeju SK | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Incheon Utd | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Anyang | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Pohang Steelers | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Bucheon (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bucheon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
Gwangju FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/09 | Jeju SK South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bucheon vs Gwangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bucheon win (45%). Probabilities: Bucheon 45%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Bucheon vs Gwangju FC?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Bucheon 1.59 · Gwangju FC 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bucheon vs Gwangju FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.