Football · South Korea K League 1 · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

Team pages: Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Daejeon Hana Citizen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.29

Daejeon Hana Citizen1.5

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Draw Daejeon Hana Citizen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDDDWL

Daejeon Hana Citizen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–2–3 Daejeon Hana Citizen (6 last)

Gimcheon Sangmu FC3-2Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-3Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen2-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-2Daejeon Hana Citizen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daejeon Hana Citizen (rating 1475 vs 1562).
H2H favours Daejeon Hana Citizen: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Daejeon Hana Citizen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2.8 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.39 → 3.43▲	Pinn 3.43
X	3.40 → 3.44▲	Pinn 3.44
2	2.09 → 2.11▲	Pinn 2.11

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:48 +36’	3.39	3.40	2.09
10:43 +55’	3.43▲	3.44▲	2.11▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–2–3 Daejeon Hana Citizen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
14/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-1 HT 0-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
30/11/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
31/08/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-1 HT 0-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18/06/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
19/04/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	31	20	5	6	58	26	65
2	Ulsan HD	32	15	5	12	50	45	50
3	Gangwon FC	31	11	13	7	38	28	46
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36	31	46
5	Jeonbuk Motors	31	11	11	9	39	30	44
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	31	11	10	10	48	38	43
7	Incheon Utd	31	11	9	11	39	33	42
8	FC Anyang	31	10	11	10	39	47	41
9	Pohang Steelers	31	11	7	13	28	37	40
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	31	5	18	8	30	37	33
11	Bucheon	32	7	11	14	32	44	32
12	Gwangju FC	31	2	12	17	25	66	18

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Daejeon Hana Citizen
FC Anyang	0-1 L	3-2 W
Bucheon	2-0 W	5-0 W
Pohang Steelers	0-0 D	2-2 D
Gwangju FC	2-2 D	3-2 W
Ulsan HD	1-3 L	2-1 W
Jeonbuk Motors	0-0 D	2-1 W
Jeju SK	0-0 D	1-3 L
Incheon Utd	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Seoul	0-0 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 6 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Daejeon Hana Citizen (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

DDDDLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
19/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
13/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
09/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
06/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
29/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-3	12	3	L
25/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	12	3	D
22/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
16/08	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Daejeon Hana Citizen

WLWLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	3-2	9	3	W
09/10	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
20/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	11	3	D
09/09	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	3-2	6	2	W
05/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
30/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
26/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
15/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-4	8	6	L
08/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Daejeon Hana Citizen win (41%). Probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%, draw 28%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 41%.

How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.29 · Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.