Football · China Division 1 · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Yanbian Longding

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Yanbian Longding

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Wuxi Wugo1.37

Yanbian Longding1.3

1X2

37% 28% 34%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Yanbian Longding

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWLLLL

Yanbian Longding 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDLWWL

Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 1–5–0 Yanbian Longding (6 last)

Yanbian Longding1-1Wuxi Wugo
Yanbian Longding1-1Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo2-0Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding2-2Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-0Yanbian Longding
Yanbian Longding0-0Wuxi Wugo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1484 · Yanbian Longding 1527

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Yanbian Longding
Our model	37%	28%	34%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanbian Longding (rating 1484 vs 1527).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Yanbian Longding
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.5	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.95 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +10’	2.40	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:53	2.40	3.10	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 1–5–0 Yanbian Longding

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	1-1 HT 0-1	Wuxi Wugo
14/07/24 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	1-1 HT 0-0	Wuxi Wugo
16/03/24 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	2-0 HT 1-0	Yanbian Longding
19/08/23 China Division 1	Yanbian Longding	2-2 HT 0-1	Wuxi Wugo
10/05/23 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-0 HT 0-0	Yanbian Longding
04/11/22 China Division 2	Yanbian Longding	0-0	Wuxi Wugo

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	21	15	4	2	44	17	49
2	Shenzhen Juniors	21	11	6	4	33	23	39
3	Guangxi Hengchen	20	10	6	4	36	24	36
4	Nantong Zhiyun	20	9	8	3	27	17	35
5	Yanbian Longding	21	9	8	4	31	21	35
6	Shaanxi Union	20	8	5	7	31	22	29
7	Ningbo Professional FC	20	8	5	7	26	26	26
8	Dalian K'un City	20	6	6	8	28	32	24
9	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	21	6	6	9	18	24	24
10	Wuxi Wugo	19	6	5	8	29	25	23
11	Changchun Yatai	20	8	2	10	33	37	22
12	Dingnan Jiangxi United	21	4	10	7	33	42	22
13	Nanjing City	21	5	6	10	19	26	21
14	Suzhou Dongwu	21	5	7	9	21	29	19
15	Meizhou Hakka	21	6	3	12	21	41	12
16	Foshan Nanshi	21	2	5	14	21	45	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Yanbian Longding
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Dalian K'un City	1-2 L	3-1 W
Shenzhen Juniors	0-1 L	0-1 L
Foshan Nanshi	2-0 W	2-0 W
Shaanxi Union	1-2 L	1-3 L
Dingnan Ganlian FC	3-3 D	3-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	1-1 D	2-1 W
Suzhou Dongwu	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yanbian Longding (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuxi Wugo

WDDLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
04/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
28/06	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	2-2	3-3	5	7	D
14/06	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	5	0	D
30/05	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W

Yanbian Longding

WWWDWDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
15/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	0	5	W
09/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
01/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
26/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-1	2-1	4	5	W
17/07	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
11/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
04/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
27/06	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Yanbian Longding?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuxi Wugo win (37%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 37%, draw 28%, Yanbian Longding 34%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Yanbian Longding?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.37 · Yanbian Longding 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Yanbian Longding?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.