Football · China Division 1 · 24/10, 09:00
Prediction: Dalian K'un City vs Guangxi Hengchen
Team pages: Dalian K'un City · Guangxi Hengchen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Dalian K'un City0.98
Guangxi Hengchen1.5
1X2
Dalian K'un City
Draw
Guangxi Hengchen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Dalian K'un City
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Guangxi Hengchen
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dalian K'un City
2–1
Guangxi Hengchen
(3 last)
- Guangxi Hengchen3-1Dalian K'un City
- Guangxi Hengchen0-2Dalian K'un City
- Dalian K'un City1-0Guangxi Hengchen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalian K'un City 1484 · Guangxi Hengchen 1530
| Dalian K'un City | Draw | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangxi Hengchen (rating 1484 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Dalian K'un City: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian K'un City | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 3.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian K'un City 2–0–1 Guangxi Hengchen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 China Division 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Dalian K'un City |
| 28/09/24 China Division 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dalian K'un City |
| 24/08/24 China Division 2 | Dalian K'un City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guangxi Hengchen |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 51 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 30 | 47 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 46 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 28 | 45 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 39 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 33 | 36 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 26 | 35 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 44 | 32 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional FC | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 31 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 29 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 49 | 27 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 37 | 25 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 54 | 16 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 59 | 16 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian K'un City | Guangxi Hengchen |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Juniors | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Changchun Yatai | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Foshan Nanshi | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Wuxi Wugo | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Yanbian Longding | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian K'un City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/10 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
Guangxi Hengchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 07/10 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 25/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian K'un City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangxi Hengchen win (49%). Probabilities: Dalian K'un City 24%, draw 27%, Guangxi Hengchen 49%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian K'un City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Dalian K'un City 0.98 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.