Prediction: Fluminense SC vs Blumenau EC
Expected goals: 2.48 (Fluminense SC 0.53 · Blumenau EC 1.95). The model gives 9% home, 20% draw, 71% away. Under 2.5 goals (53%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, Fluminense SC is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Blumenau EC 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense SC won 5 and Blumenau EC 0, with 1 draw.
| Fluminense SC | Draw | Blumenau EC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 21% | 71% |
| Market | 9% | 20% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blumenau EC (rating 1457 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Fluminense SC: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fluminense SC | Blumenau EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/71/29% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense SC 5–1–0 Blumenau EC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Blumenau EC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fluminense SC |
| 20/07/25 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Fluminense SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Blumenau EC |
| 02/06/19 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Fluminense SC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Blumenau EC |
| 25/10/18 Brazil Matches | Fluminense SC | 3-0 | Blumenau EC |
| 02/08/18 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Blumenau EC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Fluminense SC |
| 01/07/18 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Fluminense SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Blumenau EC |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Caravaggio SC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | CA Metropolitano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Blumenau EC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Nacao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Fluminense SC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 38 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fluminense SC | Blumenau EC |
|---|---|---|
| SC Jaragua | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Caravaggio SC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Tubarao | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Nacao | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Blumenau EC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fluminense SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/06 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 28/05 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 10/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 07/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Blumenau EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 9 | D |
| 24/06 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 17/06 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fluminense SC vs Blumenau EC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blumenau EC win (71%). Probabilities: Fluminense SC 9%, draw 20%, Blumenau EC 71%.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense SC vs Blumenau EC?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Fluminense SC 0.53 · Blumenau EC 1.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fluminense SC vs Blumenau EC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.