Prediction: CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio SC
Expected goals: 2.86 (CA Metropolitano 1.69 · Caravaggio SC 1.17). The model gives 48% home, 27% draw, 25% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves CA Metropolitano with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Caravaggio SC has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, CA Metropolitano won 2 and Caravaggio SC 2.
| CA Metropolitano | Draw | Caravaggio SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Metropolitano | Caravaggio SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Metropolitano 2–0–2 Caravaggio SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Caravaggio SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Metropolitano |
| 21/07/24 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Caravaggio SC | 2-0 | CA Metropolitano |
| 01/07/23 Brazil Catarinense 2 | CA Metropolitano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Caravaggio SC |
| 29/05/22 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Caravaggio SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Metropolitano |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | Caravaggio SC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | CA Metropolitano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Blumenau EC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Nacao | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Fluminense SC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 38 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Metropolitano | Caravaggio SC |
|---|---|---|
| Nacao | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Hercilio Luz | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Fluminense SC | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| SC Jaragua | 4-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Blumenau EC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tubarao | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Caravaggio SC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Metropolitano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 17/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
Caravaggio SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 24/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 28/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Metropolitano win (48%). Probabilities: CA Metropolitano 48%, draw 27%, Caravaggio SC 25%.
How many goals are expected in CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio SC?
The model expects 2.86 goals (CA Metropolitano 1.69 · Caravaggio SC 1.17), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.