Football · Brazil Catarinense 2 · 25/07, 20:00

Prediction: Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Tubarao1.48

Guarani de Palhoca1.24

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Tubarao Draw Guarani de Palhoca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tubarao 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLLLL

Guarani de Palhoca 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLLDDW

Head-to-head

Tubarao 2–1–2 Guarani de Palhoca (5 last)

Guarani de Palhoca2-2Tubarao
Guarani de Palhoca1-0Tubarao
Guarani de Palhoca2-1Tubarao

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tubarao	Guarani de Palhoca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	5.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.81

Under 2.251.91

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 2.11▲	Pinn 2.11
X	3.19 → 2.81▼	Pinn 2.81
2	4.03 → 3.39▼	Pinn 3.39

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:20	1.77	3.19	4.03
13:38 +1’	2.11▲	2.81▼	3.39▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tubarao 2–1–2 Guarani de Palhoca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Brazil Catarinense 2	Guarani de Palhoca	2-2 HT 1-1	Tubarao
15/06/24 Brazil Catarinense 2	Guarani de Palhoca	1-0 HT 0-0	Tubarao
09/07/22 Brazil Catarinense 2	Guarani de Palhoca	2-1 HT 2-0	Tubarao
12/09/21 Brazil Catarinense 2	Tubarao	1-0 HT 1-0	Guarani de Palhoca
07/08/21 Brazil Catarinense 2	Guarani de Palhoca	1-3 HT 0-0	Tubarao

Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	17	12	3	2	33	9	39
2	CA Metropolitano	17	11	2	4	33	18	35
3	Caravaggio SC	17	9	5	3	44	19	32
4	Blumenau EC	17	8	4	5	32	15	28
5	Tubarao	17	6	5	6	23	19	23
6	Fluminense SC	17	6	3	8	16	22	21
7	Nacao	17	5	6	6	18	24	21
8	Guarani de Palhoca	17	5	5	7	22	24	20
9	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	17	5	2	10	16	23	17
10	SC Jaragua	17	0	1	16	6	70	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tubarao	Guarani de Palhoca
Fluminense SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Hercilio Luz	0-2 L	1-2 L
Caravaggio SC	1-2 L	3-2 W
CA Metropolitano	2-3 L	1-3 L
Nacao	1-0 W	0-0 D
SC Jaragua	3-0 W	7-0 W
Juventus Jaragua Do Sul	2-0 W	0-1 L
Blumenau EC	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guarani de Palhoca (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tubarao

WDLWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/07	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	0-2	0-2	4	8	L
16/07	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
12/07	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-3	11	4	L
05/07	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
01/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/06	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
17/06	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
07/06	Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
31/05	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

Guarani de Palhoca

WDLDWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	–	7-0	10	4	W
19/07	Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/07	Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	1-1	9	9	D
12/07	Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
04/07	Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
28/06	Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2	2-0	3-2	5	9	W
21/06	Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
14/06	CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
07/06	Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
03/06	SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tubarao win (42%). Probabilities: Tubarao 42%, draw 28%, Guarani de Palhoca 30%.

How many goals are expected in Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Tubarao 1.48 · Guarani de Palhoca 1.24), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tubarao vs Guarani de Palhoca?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.