Prediction: Caravaggio SC vs Tubarao
| Caravaggio SC | Draw | Tubarao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Caravaggio SC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caravaggio SC | Tubarao | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caravaggio SC 2–2–1 Tubarao
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Caravaggio SC |
| 05/10/25 Brazil Copa Santa Catarina | Caravaggio SC | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Tubarao |
| 14/09/25 Brazil Copa Santa Catarina | Tubarao | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Caravaggio SC |
| 14/07/24 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Caravaggio SC |
| 23/06/22 Brazil Catarinense 2 | Tubarao | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Caravaggio SC |
Standings · Brazil Catarinense 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | CA Metropolitano | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Caravaggio SC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Blumenau EC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Tubarao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Fluminense SC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Guarani de Palhoca | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 15 |
| 8 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Nacao | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 10 | SC Jaragua | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caravaggio SC | Tubarao |
|---|---|---|
| SC Jaragua | 9-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CA Metropolitano | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Guarani de Palhoca | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Blumenau EC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Fluminense SC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Juventus Jaragua Do Sul | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hercilio Luz | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Nacao | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Caravaggio SC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caravaggio SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 28/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 24/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 28/05 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Tubarao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
4-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
Tubarao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Nacao Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | SC Jaragua Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Juventus Jaragua Do Sul Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Guarani de Palhoca Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Fluminense SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | Hercilio Luz Brazil Catarinense 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Caravaggio SC Brazil Catarinense 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | CA Metropolitano Brazil Catarinense 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caravaggio SC vs Tubarao?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caravaggio SC win (43%). Probabilities: Caravaggio SC 43%, draw 27%, Tubarao 30%.
How many goals are expected in Caravaggio SC vs Tubarao?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Caravaggio SC 1.68 · Tubarao 1.37), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Caravaggio SC vs Tubarao?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.