Football · South Korea K League 1 · 18/10, 09:30

Prediction: FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Team pages: FC Seoul · Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

FC Seoul1.71

Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.16

1X2

49% 26% 25%

FC Seoul Draw Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Seoul 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLWLW

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDDDWL

Head-to-head

FC Seoul 1–2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC (6 last)

Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-0FC Seoul
FC Seoul2-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
FC Seoul1-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC5-2FC Seoul
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-1FC Seoul
FC Seoul0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Seoul	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	2.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.04

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Pinn 1.59
X	4.25 → 4.25	Pinn 4.25
2	5.15 → 5.15	Pinn 5.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +159’	1.59	4.25	5.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 1–2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Seoul
02/05/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	2-3 HT 1-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
22/11/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-3 HT 1-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
17/08/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	5-2 HT 3-2	FC Seoul
28/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Seoul
03/03/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	31	20	5	6	58	26	65
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48	44	47
3	Gangwon FC	31	11	13	7	38	28	46
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36	31	46
5	Jeonbuk Motors	31	11	11	9	39	30	44
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	31	11	10	10	48	38	43
7	Incheon Utd	31	11	9	11	39	33	42
8	FC Anyang	31	10	11	10	39	47	41
9	Pohang Steelers	31	11	7	13	28	37	40
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	31	5	18	8	30	37	33
11	Bucheon	31	7	11	13	31	42	32
12	Gwangju FC	31	2	12	17	25	66	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Seoul	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju SK	2-1 W	0-0 D
Pohang Steelers	1-2 L	0-0 D
Jeonbuk Motors	2-1 W	0-0 D
Ulsan HD	0-1 L	1-3 L
Incheon Utd	1-0 W	1-1 D
Gwangju FC	5-2 W	2-2 D
Bucheon	1-0 W	2-0 W
FC Anyang	7-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Seoul

DWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
20/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
05/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
25/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
22/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	5-0	7-0	3	5	W
15/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-1	4-2	5	6	W
08/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

DDDDLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
19/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
13/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
09/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
06/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
29/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-3	12	3	L
25/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	12	3	D
22/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
16/08	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (49%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 49%, draw 26%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

The model expects 2.87 goals (FC Seoul 1.71 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.