Football · South Korea K League 1 · 18/10, 09:30

Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Incheon Utd

Team pages: Gangwon FC · Incheon Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

Gangwon FC1.25

Incheon Utd0.69

1X2

49% 32% 19%

Gangwon FC Draw Incheon Utd

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangwon FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDDLDW

Incheon Utd 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Gangwon FC 4–2–0 Incheon Utd (6 last)

Gangwon FC0-0Incheon Utd
Incheon Utd0-1Gangwon FC
Incheon Utd1-3Gangwon FC
Incheon Utd0-1Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC4-1Incheon Utd
Gangwon FC1-1Incheon Utd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gangwon FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangwon FC	Incheon Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.99

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 2.23	Pinn 2.23
X	3.13 → 3.13	Pinn 3.13
2	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +156’	2.23	3.13	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 4–2–0 Incheon Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Incheon Utd
02/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Incheon Utd	0-1 HT 0-1	Gangwon FC
06/10/24 South Korea K League 1	Incheon Utd	1-3 HT 0-1	Gangwon FC
30/06/24 South Korea K League 1	Incheon Utd	0-1 HT 0-0	Gangwon FC
21/04/24 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	4-1 HT 3-0	Incheon Utd
24/09/23 South Korea K League 1	Gangwon FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Incheon Utd

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	31	20	5	6	58	26	65
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48	44	47
3	Gangwon FC	31	11	13	7	38	28	46
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36	31	46
5	Jeonbuk Motors	31	11	11	9	39	30	44
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	31	11	10	10	48	38	43
7	Incheon Utd	31	11	9	11	39	33	42
8	FC Anyang	31	10	11	10	39	47	41
9	Pohang Steelers	31	11	7	13	28	37	40
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	31	5	18	8	30	37	33
11	Bucheon	31	7	11	13	31	42	32
12	Gwangju FC	31	2	12	17	25	66	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangwon FC	Incheon Utd
Bucheon	2-0 W	2-1 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Jeonbuk Motors	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Anyang	3-0 W	1-2 L
Pohang Steelers	0-0 D	3-0 W
Gwangju FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Ulsan HD	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangwon FC

LWDDWDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
27/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/09	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/09	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
09/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
06/09	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-0	2	0	W
30/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
26/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	2-2	12	3	D
16/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
01/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-3	6	6	L

Incheon Utd

DWLDLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
27/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
12/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-2	9	0	L
08/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
23/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
16/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Incheon Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (49%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 49%, draw 32%, Incheon Utd 19%.

How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Incheon Utd?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Gangwon FC 1.25 · Incheon Utd 0.69), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Incheon Utd?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.