Prediction: Upper Hutt City vs FC Western
Team pages: Upper Hutt City · FC Western
- FC Western1-4Upper Hutt City
| Upper Hutt City | Draw | FC Western | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 16% | 13% |
| Market | 72% | 15% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Upper Hutt City (rating 1467 vs 1424).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Upper Hutt City | FC Western | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.3 | 0.9 / 3.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.3 | 1.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Upper Hutt City 1–0–0 FC Western
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 New Zealand Central League | FC Western | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Upper Hutt City |
Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Miramar Rangers | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 18 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 16 |
| 7 | Waterside Karori | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 15 |
| 8 | Petone FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 12 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Western | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Upper Hutt City | FC Western |
|---|---|---|
| Island Bay United | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Wellington Olympic | 1-4 L | 0-9 L |
| Western Suburbs | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Napier City Rovers | 1-5 L | 1-6 L |
| Waterside Karori | 6-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Miramar Rangers | 2-3 L | 0-12 L |
| Petone FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Upper Hutt City (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Upper Hutt City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
5-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
FC Western
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-4 | 0-12 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-5 | 0-9 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Upper Hutt City vs FC Western?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Upper Hutt City win (72%). Probabilities: Upper Hutt City 72%, draw 15%, FC Western 13%.
How many goals are expected in Upper Hutt City vs FC Western?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Upper Hutt City 3.03 · FC Western 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Upper Hutt City vs FC Western?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.