Football · New Zealand Central League · 29/08, 03:45
Prediction: Miramar Rangers vs Western Suburbs
Team pages: Miramar Rangers · Western Suburbs
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Miramar Rangers2.06
Western Suburbs1.2
1X2
Miramar Rangers
Draw
Western Suburbs
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Rangers
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Western Suburbs
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Miramar Rangers
3–1–2
Western Suburbs
(6 last)
- Miramar Rangers2-0Western Suburbs
- Western Suburbs1-0Miramar Rangers
- Miramar Rangers2-1Western Suburbs
- Western Suburbs2-2Miramar Rangers
- Miramar Rangers2-1Western Suburbs
- Western Suburbs2-1Miramar Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miramar Rangers 1591 · Western Suburbs 1540
| Miramar Rangers | Draw | Western Suburbs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miramar Rangers (rating 1591 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Miramar Rangers: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 15.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miramar Rangers | Western Suburbs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.8 / 9.9 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Rangers 3–1–2 Western Suburbs
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 New Zealand Cup | Miramar Rangers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Western Suburbs |
| 23/05/26 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Miramar Rangers |
| 29/11/25 New Zealand Football Championship | Miramar Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Western Suburbs |
| 21/06/25 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Miramar Rangers |
| 05/04/25 New Zealand Central League | Miramar Rangers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Western Suburbs |
| 29/06/24 New Zealand Central League | Western Suburbs | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Miramar Rangers |
Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Wellington Olympic | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 51 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Miramar Rangers | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Western Suburbs | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Upper Hutt City | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 21 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 36 | 19 |
| 7 | Waterside Karori | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 15 |
| 8 | Petone FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 13 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Western | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 63 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miramar Rangers | Western Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Napier City Rovers | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| FC Western | 12-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Waterside Karori | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Petone FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Island Bay United | 4-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Upper Hutt City | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Wellington Olympic | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Miramar Rangers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miramar Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
4-0 | 12-0 | 18 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Western Suburbs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Petone FC New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | Island Bay United New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | FC Western New Zealand Central League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miramar Rangers vs Western Suburbs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Rangers win (57%). Probabilities: Miramar Rangers 57%, draw 22%, Western Suburbs 21%.
How many goals are expected in Miramar Rangers vs Western Suburbs?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Miramar Rangers 2.06 · Western Suburbs 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Miramar Rangers vs Western Suburbs?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.