Football · New Zealand Northern League · 29/08, 05:00
Prediction: Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Auckland FC II
Team pages: Eastern Suburbs Auckland · Auckland FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Eastern Suburbs Auckland1.89
Auckland FC II1
1X2
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
Draw
Auckland FC II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Auckland FC II
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
1–1–1
Auckland FC II
(3 last)
- Auckland FC II0-1Eastern Suburbs Auckland
- Eastern Suburbs Auckland0-2Auckland FC II
- Auckland FC II0-0Eastern Suburbs Auckland
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs Auckland 1577 · Auckland FC II 1520
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Draw | Auckland FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eastern Suburbs Auckland (rating 1577 vs 1520).
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Auckland FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 8 | 3.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs Auckland 1–1–1 Auckland FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 New Zealand Northern League | Auckland FC II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland |
| 12/07/25 New Zealand Northern League | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Auckland FC II |
| 06/04/25 New Zealand Northern League | Auckland FC II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland |
Standings · New Zealand Northern League · Northern League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 56 | 11 | 56 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Auckland City | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | 20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 37 |
| 5 | Auckland United FC | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 20 | 35 |
| 6 | East Coast Bays | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 35 |
| 7 | Auckland FC II | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 27 |
| 8 | Western Springs AFC | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 24 |
| 9 | Melville United | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 47 | 20 |
| 10 | Bay Olympic | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 51 | 15 |
| 11 | Tauranga City AFC | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 51 | 12 |
| 12 | Manukau United | 21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 71 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern Suburbs Auckland | Auckland FC II |
|---|---|---|
| East Coast Bays | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Bay Olympic | 5-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Fencibles United | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Tauranga City AFC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Manukau United | 7-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Birkenhead United | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Auckland United FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Melville United | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Auckland City | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs Auckland (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern Suburbs Auckland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
4-0 | 7-0 | 17 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Western Springs AFC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Auckland FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Melville United New Zealand Northern League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | East Coast Bays New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Fencibles United New Zealand Northern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Tauranga City AFC New Zealand Northern League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Bay Olympic New Zealand Northern League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Auckland City New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Manukau United New Zealand Northern League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Birkenhead United New Zealand Northern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | Auckland United FC New Zealand Northern League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Auckland FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs Auckland win (58%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs Auckland 58%, draw 23%, Auckland FC II 19%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Auckland FC II?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Eastern Suburbs Auckland 1.89 · Auckland FC II 1), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Auckland FC II?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.