Football · New Zealand Central League · 22/08, 05:15

Prediction: Petone FC vs Wellington Olympic

Team pages: Petone FC · Wellington Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Petone FC0.89

Wellington Olympic2.47

1X2

12% 16% 72%

Petone FC Draw Wellington Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Petone FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Wellington Olympic 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Petone FC 0–6 Wellington Olympic (6 last)

Wellington Olympic5-1Petone FC
Wellington Olympic3-1Petone FC
Petone FC0-3Wellington Olympic
Petone FC2-3Wellington Olympic
Wellington Olympic6-0Petone FC
Petone FC1-5Wellington Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petone FC 1430 · Wellington Olympic 1566

	Petone FC	Draw	Wellington Olympic
Our model	11%	18%	71%
Market	13%	14%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Olympic (rating 1430 vs 1566).
H2H favours Wellington Olympic: 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Petone FC	Wellington Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.3	3.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

17.00

X6.50

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.98

2 (-2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +4’	7.00	6.50	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Petone FC 0–0–6 Wellington Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 New Zealand Central League	Wellington Olympic	5-1 HT 3-0	Petone FC
20/06/25 New Zealand Central League	Wellington Olympic	3-1 HT 2-0	Petone FC
31/05/25 New Zealand Cup	Petone FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Wellington Olympic
05/04/25 New Zealand Central League	Petone FC	2-3 HT 0-3	Wellington Olympic
24/08/24 New Zealand Central League	Wellington Olympic	6-0 HT 3-0	Petone FC
18/05/24 New Zealand Central League	Petone FC	1-5 HT 0-2	Wellington Olympic

Standings · New Zealand Central League · Central League 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Napier City Rovers	16	13	2	1	44	12	41
2	Wellington Olympic	16	12	2	2	50	15	38
3	Miramar Rangers	16	11	4	1	43	11	37
4	Western Suburbs	16	9	5	2	29	13	32
5	Upper Hutt City	16	6	0	10	27	36	18
6	Island Bay United	16	5	1	10	24	35	16
7	Waterside Karori	16	4	3	9	15	38	15
8	Petone FC	16	3	3	10	14	29	12
9	Wellington Phoenix Reserves	16	2	5	9	15	22	11
10	FC Western	16	1	3	12	10	60	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Petone FC	Wellington Olympic
Western Suburbs	0-2 L	2-1 W
Napier City Rovers	0-4 L	2-3 L
Miramar Rangers	1-1 D	1-1 D
Waterside Karori	0-1 L	3-0 W
Wellington Phoenix Reserves	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Western	2-1 W	9-0 W
Upper Hutt City	0-2 L	4-1 W
Island Bay United	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wellington Olympic (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Petone FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
02/08	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
18/07	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
04/07	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Cup	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
27/06	Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
21/06	FC Western New Zealand Central League	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/06	Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
24/05	Island Bay United New Zealand Central League	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
16/05	Wellington Olympic New Zealand Central League	0-3	1-5	6	1	L

Wellington Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Central League	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
01/08	Upper Hutt City New Zealand Central League	1-1	4-1	11	2	W
18/07	Island Bay United New Zealand Central League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
11/07	FC Western New Zealand Central League	5-0	9-0	9	0	W
28/06	Napier City Rovers New Zealand Central League	1-1	2-3	0	0	L
20/06	Western Suburbs New Zealand Central League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/06	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Central League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/05	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Cup	0-0	1-2	6	0	L
23/05	Waterside Karori New Zealand Central League	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/05	Petone FC New Zealand Central League	3-0	5-1	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petone FC vs Wellington Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wellington Olympic win (72%). Probabilities: Petone FC 12%, draw 16%, Wellington Olympic 72%.

How many goals are expected in Petone FC vs Wellington Olympic?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Petone FC 0.89 · Wellington Olympic 2.47), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Petone FC vs Wellington Olympic?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.