Prediction: SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Team pages: SK Super Nova II · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
- FK Beitar Riga/Mariners1-1SK Super Nova II
| SK Super Nova II | Draw | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (rating 1492 vs 1576).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Super Nova II | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova II 0–1–0 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Latvia 1. Liga | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SK Super Nova II |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 24 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 22 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 19 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 12 |
| 11 | JFK Ventspils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 7 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Super Nova II | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| JDFS Alberts | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Metta/LU | 3-7 L | 2-2 D |
| Valmiera FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Marupes SC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Super Nova II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-5 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 11/07 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | JDFS Alberts Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Rfk/Rfs Latvia Cup |
2-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Beitar Riga/Mariners win (55%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova II 22%, draw 23%, FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 55%.
How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
The model expects 3.21 goals (SK Super Nova II 1.21 · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 2), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

