Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

Team pages: SK Super Nova II · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
SK Super Nova II1.21
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners2
1X2
22% 23% 55%
SK Super Nova II Draw FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Super Nova II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDLWDLD
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWDLD
Head-to-head
SK Super Nova II 0–1–0 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (1 last)
  • FK Beitar Riga/Mariners1-1SK Super Nova II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Super Nova II 1492 · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 1576
SK Super Nova IIDrawFK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Our model22%24%55%
Market22%22%55%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (rating 1492 vs 1576).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SK Super Nova IIFK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.63 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.91 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.72.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 05 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova II 010 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Latvia 1. Liga
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners1-1
HT 0-0
SK Super Nova II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Metta/LU 141211 551137
2 Valmiera FC 141121 381235
3 Saldus SS/Leevon 14932 241730
4 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 14851 271329
5 JDFS Alberts 14734 292224
6 Marupes SC 14716 242022
7 SK Super Nova II 14554 212020
8 Riga FC II 14617 212619
9 Skanstes SK 14419 212913
10 RFS II 14338 203112
11 JFK Ventspils 14257 172411
12 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 14329 184011
13 FK Smiltene/BJSS 14149 16387
14 Rezeknes FA 141211 11395

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSK Super Nova IIFK Beitar Riga/Mariners
JDFS Alberts 1-1 D 4-0 W
Metta/LU 3-7 L 2-2 D
Valmiera FC 0-0 D 3-1 W
Marupes SC 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Super Nova II

LLWWDLWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 JDFS Alberts
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 1-1 23 D
19/07 Riga FC II
Latvia 1. Liga
1-2 1-2 55 L
05/07 RFS II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 1-1 45 D
27/06 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Latvia 1. Liga
2-0 3-1 13 W
13/06 Metta/LU
Latvia 1. Liga
0-5 3-7 53 L
26/05 Valmiera FC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-0 52 D
13/05 FK Smiltene/BJSS
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 2-0 75 W
09/05 Rezeknes FA
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 1-0 42 W
02/05 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-1 25 L
26/04 Leevon PPK
Latvia 1. Liga
2-2 2-3 27 L

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

WDWWWWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 JFK Ventspils
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 1-1 134 D
18/07 Saldus SS/Leevon
Latvia 1. Liga
1-1 1-2 68 L
11/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Cup
2-1 3-3 34 D
04/07 JDFS Alberts
Latvia 1. Liga
2-0 4-0 92 W
27/06 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 2-0 35 W
20/06 JDFS Alberts
Latvia Cup
0-0 1-0 53 W
14/06 Skanstes SK
Latvia 1. Liga
2-0 2-0 17 W
30/05 Rfk/Rfs
Latvia Cup
2-0 11-0 W
23/05 Metta/LU
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 2-2 D
16/05 Valmiera FC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 3-1 37 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Beitar Riga/Mariners win (55%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova II 22%, draw 23%, FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 55%.

How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?

The model expects 3.21 goals (SK Super Nova II 1.21 · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 2), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Super Nova II vs FK Beitar Riga/Mariners?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.