Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: SK Super Nova II vs Metta/LU

Team pages: SK Super Nova II · Metta/LU

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.44Total

SK Super Nova II1.83

Metta/LU2.61

1X2

26% 20% 54%

SK Super Nova II Draw Metta/LU

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Super Nova II 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLDLDLD

Metta/LU 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

SK Super Nova II 0–1 Metta/LU (1 last)

Metta/LU7-3SK Super Nova II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metta/LU (rating 1445 vs 1616).
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Super Nova II	Metta/LU
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	5.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	2.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.8	5 / 10.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	20.34 → 20.34	Pinn 20.34
X	12.00 → 12.00	Pinn 12.00
2	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +28’	20.34	12.00	1.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova II 0–0–1 Metta/LU

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Metta/LU	7-3 HT 5-0	SK Super Nova II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	22	18	3	1	93	17	57
2	Valmiera FC	22	16	4	2	61	24	52
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	22	16	4	2	47	25	52
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	22	14	5	3	50	27	47
5	JDFS Alberts	22	12	4	6	44	31	40
6	Marupes SC	22	10	2	10	37	34	32
7	Riga FC II	22	8	5	9	34	37	29
8	Skanstes SK	22	8	2	12	43	44	26
9	SK Super Nova II	22	6	8	8	29	33	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	22	5	4	13	32	59	19
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	22	5	3	14	29	63	18
12	RFS II	22	4	3	15	36	65	15
13	JFK Ventspils	22	3	6	13	21	45	15
14	Rezeknes FA	22	1	3	18	17	69	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Super Nova II	Metta/LU
Valmiera FC	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Smiltene/BJSS	0-2 L	6-0 W
Rezeknes FA	2-2 D	2-0 W
Marupes SC	1-2 L	4-0 W
JFK Ventspils	2-0 W	7-0 W
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	0-3 L	4-0 W
JDFS Alberts	1-1 D	3-1 W
Riga FC II	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Metta/LU (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Super Nova II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
11/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	3	3	L
23/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
15/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
08/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
31/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	10	L
25/07	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
19/07	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	6	L

Metta/LU

WWDWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	2	W
19/09	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	11	3	W
12/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	7-0	5	2	W
05/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	2-2	14	10	D
29/08	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	9-1	12-1	16	8	W
01/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-2	9	5	D
27/07	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	6-0	9-0	14	0	W
18/07	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	4-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova II vs Metta/LU?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Metta/LU win (54%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova II 26%, draw 20%, Metta/LU 54%.

How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova II vs Metta/LU?

The model expects 4.44 goals (SK Super Nova II 1.83 · Metta/LU 2.61), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Super Nova II vs Metta/LU?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.