Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 22/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs SK Super Nova II

Team pages: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II · SK Super Nova II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1.9

SK Super Nova II1.63

1X2

44% 24% 33%

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Draw SK Super Nova II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWWLD

SK Super Nova II 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLDLDL

Head-to-head

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 0–1 SK Super Nova II (1 last)

SK Super Nova II3-1FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	SK Super Nova II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.4	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 2.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/0/70%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	0.9 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.86

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 14:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.86 → 1.68▼	Pinn 1.68
X	4.06 → 4.43▲	Pinn 4.43
2	2.92 → 3.41▲	Pinn 3.41

See the full journey (7)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:40 +23’	1.86	4.06	2.92
07:08 +52’	1.86	4.08▲	2.91▼
08:32 +28’	1.87▲	4.10▲	2.88▼
11:01 +1’	1.80▼	4.16▲	3.03▲
12:02	1.81▲	4.24▲	3.08▲
12:49 +13’	1.75▼	4.31▲	3.24▲
13:58 +5’	1.68▼	4.43▲	3.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 0–0–1 SK Super Nova II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Latvia 1. Liga	SK Super Nova II	3-1 HT 2-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	23	19	3	1	96	18	60
2	Valmiera FC	23	16	5	2	63	26	53
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	23	16	5	2	49	27	53
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	23	15	5	3	54	30	50
5	JDFS Alberts	23	12	5	6	46	33	41
6	Marupes SC	23	10	3	10	37	34	33
7	Riga FC II	23	8	6	9	36	39	30
8	Skanstes SK	23	8	2	13	46	48	26
9	SK Super Nova II	23	6	8	9	30	36	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	23	5	5	13	34	61	20
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	23	5	4	14	31	65	19
12	RFS II	23	5	3	15	37	65	18
13	JFK Ventspils	23	3	7	13	21	45	16
14	Rezeknes FA	23	1	3	19	17	70	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	SK Super Nova II
Valmiera FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Smiltene/BJSS	2-3 L	0-2 L
JFK Ventspils	1-0 W	2-0 W
Rezeknes FA	3-1 W	2-2 D
Marupes SC	0-5 L	1-2 L
Saldus SS/Leevon	0-3 L	1-2 L
Skanstes SK	2-6 L	1-1 D
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	2-4 L	0-3 L
JDFS Alberts	1-1 D	1-1 D
Metta/LU	0-9 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	1 W 4 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SK Super Nova II (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

LDLLLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
26/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
30/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-5	2-6	4	2	L
09/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
03/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
27/07	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-6	0-9	0	0	L

SK Super Nova II

DLWLDLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
10/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
11/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	3	3	L
23/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
15/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
08/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
31/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	10	L
25/07	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs SK Super Nova II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Tukums 2000/TSS II win (44%). Probabilities: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 44%, draw 24%, SK Super Nova II 33%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs SK Super Nova II?

The model expects 3.53 goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1.9 · SK Super Nova II 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs SK Super Nova II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.