Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: SK Super Nova II vs Riga FC II

Team pages: SK Super Nova II · Riga FC II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

SK Super Nova II1.47

Riga FC II1.51

1X2

36% 27% 38%

SK Super Nova II Draw Riga FC II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Super Nova II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLDLDLWL

Riga FC II 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDDWDWD

Head-to-head

SK Super Nova II 0–1 Riga FC II (1 last)

Riga FC II2-1SK Super Nova II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riga FC II (rating 1456 vs 1518).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Super Nova II	Riga FC II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.7	3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.37 → 3.37	Pinn 3.37
X	3.61 → 3.61	Pinn 3.61
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +33’	3.37	3.61	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Super Nova II 0–0–1 Riga FC II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	2-1 HT 2-1	SK Super Nova II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	25	21	3	1	100	19	66
2	Valmiera FC	25	17	6	2	66	26	57
3	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	25	17	5	3	63	32	56
4	Saldus SS/Leevon	25	16	6	3	49	29	54
5	JDFS Alberts	25	13	5	7	52	36	44
6	Marupes SC	25	10	4	11	39	41	34
7	Riga FC II	25	9	7	9	40	40	34
8	SK Super Nova II	25	7	8	10	35	40	29
9	Skanstes SK	25	8	2	15	48	53	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	25	6	6	13	38	63	24
11	RFS II	25	6	3	16	41	70	21
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	25	5	5	15	32	69	20
13	JFK Ventspils	25	4	7	14	29	48	19
14	Rezeknes FA	25	1	3	21	17	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Super Nova II	Riga FC II
RFS II	2-4 L	3-0 W
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	3-0 W	1-1 D
FK Smiltene/BJSS	0-2 L	2-2 D
Rezeknes FA	2-2 D	5-0 W
Saldus SS/Leevon	1-2 L	1-1 D
Skanstes SK	1-1 D	3-2 W
Marupes SC	1-2 L	0-0 D
JFK Ventspils	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Riga FC II (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Super Nova II

WLDLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-3	2-4	3	6	L
22/10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
10/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
11/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	3	3	L
23/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
15/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
08/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	2	W

Riga FC II

LLDWDDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	6	W
17/10	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	5-0	10	4	W
20/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
13/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
07/09	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-2	2	4	W
29/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
24/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-3	11	5	L
08/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Super Nova II vs Riga FC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Riga FC II win (38%). Probabilities: SK Super Nova II 36%, draw 27%, Riga FC II 38%.

How many goals are expected in SK Super Nova II vs Riga FC II?

The model expects 2.98 goals (SK Super Nova II 1.47 · Riga FC II 1.51), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Super Nova II vs Riga FC II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.