Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: Rezeknes FA vs FK Smiltene/BJSS

Team pages: Rezeknes FA · FK Smiltene/BJSS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Rezeknes FA1.66

FK Smiltene/BJSS2.26

1X2

28% 22% 51%

Rezeknes FA Draw FK Smiltene/BJSS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Rezeknes FA 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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FK Smiltene/BJSS 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWDWD

Head-to-head

Rezeknes FA 1–2–3 FK Smiltene/BJSS (6 last)

FK Smiltene/BJSS1-0Rezeknes FA
FK Smiltene/BJSS2-2Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA2-1FK Smiltene/BJSS
FK Smiltene/BJSS3-3Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA0-4FK Smiltene/BJSS
Rezeknes FA1-2FK Smiltene/BJSS

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Smiltene/BJSS (rating 1369 vs 1514).
H2H favours FK Smiltene/BJSS: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rezeknes FA	FK Smiltene/BJSS
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 4.2	2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.5	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 1	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.84

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.05 → 7.05	Pinn 7.05
X	5.52 → 5.52	Pinn 5.52
2	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +33’	7.05	5.52	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rezeknes FA 1–2–3 FK Smiltene/BJSS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Smiltene/BJSS	1-0 HT 1-0	Rezeknes FA
01/11/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Smiltene/BJSS	2-2 HT 1-1	Rezeknes FA
06/07/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Smiltene/BJSS
28/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Smiltene/BJSS	3-3 HT 2-0	Rezeknes FA
25/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	0-4 HT 0-2	FK Smiltene/BJSS
07/10/23 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-2 HT 0-2	FK Smiltene/BJSS

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	25	21	3	1	100	19	66
2	Valmiera FC	25	17	6	2	66	26	57
3	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	25	17	5	3	63	32	56
4	Saldus SS/Leevon	25	16	6	3	49	29	54
5	JDFS Alberts	25	13	5	7	52	36	44
6	Marupes SC	25	10	4	11	39	41	34
7	Riga FC II	25	9	7	9	40	40	34
8	SK Super Nova II	25	7	8	10	35	40	29
9	Skanstes SK	25	8	2	15	48	53	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	25	6	6	13	38	63	24
11	RFS II	25	6	3	16	41	70	21
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	25	5	5	15	32	69	20
13	JFK Ventspils	25	4	7	14	29	48	19
14	Rezeknes FA	25	1	3	21	17	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rezeknes FA	FK Smiltene/BJSS
JDFS Alberts	0-5 L	2-3 L
Riga FC II	0-5 L	2-2 D
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	1-3 L	3-2 W
SK Super Nova II	2-2 D	2-0 W
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	0-5 L	4-1 W
Valmiera FC	1-6 L	1-4 L
Metta/LU	0-2 L	0-6 L
Skanstes SK	1-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Smiltene/BJSS (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rezeknes FA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-5	0-8	0	2	L
25/10	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
18/10	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-5	3	4	L
19/09	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-5	0	5	L
30/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-6	–	–	L
23/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-5	–	–	L

FK Smiltene/BJSS

LLLLWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
17/10	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
19/09	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-1	2	10	W
05/09	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	10	L
29/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-6	–	–	L
23/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	2-3	2-4	3	2	L
08/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rezeknes FA vs FK Smiltene/BJSS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Smiltene/BJSS win (51%). Probabilities: Rezeknes FA 28%, draw 22%, FK Smiltene/BJSS 51%.

How many goals are expected in Rezeknes FA vs FK Smiltene/BJSS?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Rezeknes FA 1.66 · FK Smiltene/BJSS 2.26), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rezeknes FA vs FK Smiltene/BJSS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.