Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/11, 12:00
Prediction: Metta/LU vs Marupes SC
Team pages: Metta/LU · Marupes SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.48Total
Metta/LU2.97
Marupes SC1.51
1X2
Metta/LU
Draw
Marupes SC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Metta/LU
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Marupes SC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metta/LU
2–0
Marupes SC
(2 last)
- Marupes SC0-4Metta/LU
- Marupes SC1-4Metta/LU
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metta/LU (rating 1631 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Metta/LU: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metta/LU | Marupes SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.7 | 0.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metta/LU 2–0–0 Marupes SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga | Marupes SC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Metta/LU |
| 13/07/25 Latvia Cup | Marupes SC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Metta/LU |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 100 | 19 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 66 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 49 | 29 | 54 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 36 | 44 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 41 | 34 |
| 7 | Riga FC II | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 34 |
| 8 | SK Super Nova II | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 53 | 26 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 63 | 24 |
| 11 | RFS II | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 70 | 21 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 69 | 20 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 48 | 19 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 83 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metta/LU | Marupes SC |
|---|---|---|
| Saldus SS/Leevon | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SK Super Nova II | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 4-0 W | 1-6 L |
| JDFS Alberts | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| JFK Ventspils | 7-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Valmiera FC | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| RFS II | 12-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Metta/LU (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metta/LU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
9-1 | 12-1 | 16 | 8 | W |
Marupes SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/10 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metta/LU vs Marupes SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metta/LU win (67%). Probabilities: Metta/LU 67%, draw 17%, Marupes SC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Metta/LU vs Marupes SC?
The model expects 4.48 goals (Metta/LU 2.97 · Marupes SC 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Metta/LU vs Marupes SC?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.