Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: Valmiera FC vs Skanstes SK

Team pages: Valmiera FC · Skanstes SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Valmiera FC2.65

Skanstes SK1.43

1X2

63% 19% 18%

Valmiera FC Draw Skanstes SK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Valmiera FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDDWD

Skanstes SK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Valmiera FC 2–0 Skanstes SK (2 last)

Skanstes SK0-3Valmiera FC
Valmiera FC2-0Skanstes SK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valmiera FC (rating 1569 vs 1441).
H2H favours Valmiera FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valmiera FC	Skanstes SK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.2	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Pinn 1.14
X	6.79 → 6.79	Pinn 6.79
2	11.03 → 11.03	Pinn 11.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +32’	1.14	6.79	11.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valmiera FC 2–0–0 Skanstes SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	0-3 HT 0-1	Valmiera FC
30/05/26 Latvia Cup	Valmiera FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Skanstes SK

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	25	21	3	1	100	19	66
2	Valmiera FC	25	17	6	2	66	26	57
3	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	25	17	5	3	63	32	56
4	Saldus SS/Leevon	25	16	6	3	49	29	54
5	JDFS Alberts	25	13	5	7	52	36	44
6	Marupes SC	25	10	4	11	39	41	34
7	Riga FC II	25	9	7	9	40	40	34
8	SK Super Nova II	25	7	8	10	35	40	29
9	Skanstes SK	25	8	2	15	48	53	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	25	6	6	13	38	63	24
11	RFS II	25	6	3	16	41	70	21
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	25	5	5	15	32	69	20
13	JFK Ventspils	25	4	7	14	29	48	19
14	Rezeknes FA	25	1	3	21	17	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valmiera FC	Skanstes SK
JFK Ventspils	3-0 W	0-1 L
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	2-2 D	6-2 W
SK Super Nova II	1-1 D	1-1 D
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	2-4 L	3-4 L
JDFS Alberts	2-1 W	0-2 L
Metta/LU	2-2 D	1-2 L
Rezeknes FA	6-1 W	5-1 W
FK Smiltene/BJSS	4-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Valmiera FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valmiera FC

WWWDWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
24/10	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	2-4	6	4	L
12/09	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
05/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-2	1	10	D
30/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	6-1	–	–	W
22/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	4	W
08/08	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	4-1	7	3	W

Skanstes SK

WDWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
17/10	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	3-4	0	7	L
10/10	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
20/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-3	5	6	W
07/09	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
30/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-2	6-2	2	2	W
23/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valmiera FC vs Skanstes SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valmiera FC win (63%). Probabilities: Valmiera FC 63%, draw 19%, Skanstes SK 18%.

How many goals are expected in Valmiera FC vs Skanstes SK?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Valmiera FC 2.65 · Skanstes SK 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Valmiera FC vs Skanstes SK?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.