Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 07/11, 12:00

Prediction: JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils

Team pages: JDFS Alberts · JFK Ventspils

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

JDFS Alberts2.32

JFK Ventspils1.19

1X2

62% 21% 18%

JDFS Alberts Draw JFK Ventspils

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

JDFS Alberts 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWDWL

JFK Ventspils 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLDLW

Head-to-head

JDFS Alberts 5–1–0 JFK Ventspils (6 last)

JFK Ventspils1-3JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts2-0JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils1-1JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts2-0JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils0-2JDFS Alberts
JFK Ventspils2-3JDFS Alberts

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1548 vs 1434).
H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JDFS Alberts	JFK Ventspils
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.1	2.2 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	5.34 → 5.34	Pinn 5.34
2	3.16 → 3.16	Pinn 3.16

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +33’	1.63	5.34	3.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JDFS Alberts 5–1–0 JFK Ventspils

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	1-3 HT 0-0	JDFS Alberts
05/10/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-0 HT 1-0	JFK Ventspils
25/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	1-1 HT 0-1	JDFS Alberts
26/10/24 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-0 HT 0-0	JFK Ventspils
06/07/24 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	0-2 HT 0-0	JDFS Alberts
28/10/23 Latvia 1. Liga	JFK Ventspils	2-3 HT 0-2	JDFS Alberts

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	25	21	3	1	100	19	66
2	Valmiera FC	25	17	6	2	66	26	57
3	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	25	17	5	3	63	32	56
4	Saldus SS/Leevon	25	16	6	3	49	29	54
5	JDFS Alberts	25	13	5	7	52	36	44
6	Marupes SC	25	10	4	11	39	41	34
7	Riga FC II	25	9	7	9	40	40	34
8	SK Super Nova II	25	7	8	10	35	40	29
9	Skanstes SK	25	8	2	15	48	53	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	25	6	6	13	38	63	24
11	RFS II	25	6	3	16	41	70	21
12	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	25	5	5	15	32	69	20
13	JFK Ventspils	25	4	7	14	29	48	19
14	Rezeknes FA	25	1	3	21	17	83	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JDFS Alberts	JFK Ventspils
Rezeknes FA	5-0 W	8-0 W
Saldus SS/Leevon	2-2 D	0-4 L
Skanstes SK	2-0 W	1-0 W
Metta/LU	1-3 L	0-7 L
Valmiera FC	1-2 L	0-3 L
Marupes SC	2-0 W	0-0 D
RFS II	3-1 W	1-4 L
Riga FC II	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JDFS Alberts (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JDFS Alberts

WWWWLLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
25/10	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	5-0	10	1	W
18/10	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
19/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
12/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
05/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	10	W
29/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
22/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
08/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

JFK Ventspils

LDLLWLLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	5-0	8-0	11	2	W
24/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
18/10	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
10/10	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
26/09	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-7	2	2	L
05/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
29/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JDFS Alberts win (62%). Probabilities: JDFS Alberts 62%, draw 21%, JFK Ventspils 18%.

How many goals are expected in JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?

The model expects 3.51 goals (JDFS Alberts 2.32 · JFK Ventspils 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.