Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs JDFS Alberts

Team pages: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners · JDFS Alberts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners2.18

JDFS Alberts1.46

1X2

53% 22% 25%

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Draw JDFS Alberts

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

JDFS Alberts 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLWDW

Head-to-head

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 3–1 JDFS Alberts (4 last)

JDFS Alberts0-4FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners1-0JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts2-0FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners4-2JDFS Alberts

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (rating 1591 vs 1537).
H2H favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners: 3-0-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	JDFS Alberts
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.8	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.2	2.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	3.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.78

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.58	Pinn 1.58
X	4.44 → 4.44	Pinn 4.44
2	3.81 → 3.81	Pinn 3.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
03:35 +54’	1.58	4.44	3.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 3–0–1 JDFS Alberts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	0-4 HT 0-2	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
20/06/26 Latvia Cup	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	1-0 HT 0-0	JDFS Alberts
08/11/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
18/07/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	4-2 HT 1-0	JDFS Alberts

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	24	20	3	1	98	18	63
2	Valmiera FC	24	17	5	2	66	26	56
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	24	16	5	3	49	29	53
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	24	16	5	3	60	31	53
5	JDFS Alberts	24	13	5	6	51	33	44
6	Marupes SC	24	10	3	11	38	40	33
7	Riga FC II	24	9	6	9	39	39	33
8	SK Super Nova II	24	7	8	9	33	36	29
9	Skanstes SK	24	8	2	14	47	51	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	24	6	5	13	37	62	23
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	24	5	4	15	31	68	19
12	RFS II	24	5	3	16	37	68	18
13	JFK Ventspils	24	3	7	14	21	48	16
14	Rezeknes FA	24	1	3	20	17	75	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	JDFS Alberts
Marupes SC	6-1 W	2-0 W
Skanstes SK	4-3 W	2-0 W
Metta/LU	0-4 L	1-3 L
Valmiera FC	4-2 W	1-2 L
FK Smiltene/BJSS	1-4 L	3-2 W
Rezeknes FA	5-0 W	5-0 W
RFS II	3-1 W	3-1 W
Riga FC II	3-1 W	2-0 W
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	4-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	6-1	3	4	W
17/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	4-3	7	7	W
10/10	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
19/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	4-2	10	4	W
12/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-4	17	10	L
05/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	5-0	11	5	W
29/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	3-1	1	5	W
09/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
31/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	10	W

JDFS Alberts

DWWWWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	5-0	10	1	W
18/10	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
19/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
12/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
05/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	10	W
29/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
22/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
08/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
03/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Beitar Riga/Mariners win (53%). Probabilities: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 53%, draw 22%, JDFS Alberts 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?

The model expects 3.64 goals (FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 2.18 · JDFS Alberts 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs JDFS Alberts?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.