Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Riga FC II

Team pages: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II · Riga FC II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II1.63

Riga FC II1.77

1X2

35% 25% 41%

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Draw Riga FC II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWLDL

Riga FC II 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDDWDW

Head-to-head

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1–5 Riga FC II (6 last)

Riga FC II2-0FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II2-1Riga FC II
Riga FC II1-0FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Riga FC II9-0FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II0-7Riga FC II
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II0-3Riga FC II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riga FC II (rating 1437 vs 1513).
H2H favours Riga FC II: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	Riga FC II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.8	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/0/70%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.84

Under 3.51.87

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.28 → 2.93▼	Pinn 2.93
X	4.25 → 4.41▲	Pinn 4.41
2	1.53 → 1.82▲	Pinn 1.82

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:31 +58’	4.28	4.25	1.53
05:07 +48’	2.93▼	4.41▲	1.82▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1–0–5 Riga FC II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	2-0 HT 0-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
01/11/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	2-1 HT 1-1	Riga FC II
07/07/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
27/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Riga FC II	9-0 HT 3-0	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
26/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	0-7 HT 0-1	Riga FC II
04/11/23 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	0-3 HT 0-2	Riga FC II

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	24	20	3	1	98	18	63
2	Valmiera FC	24	17	5	2	66	26	56
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	24	16	5	3	49	29	53
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	24	16	5	3	60	31	53
5	JDFS Alberts	24	13	5	6	51	33	44
6	Marupes SC	24	10	3	11	38	40	33
7	Riga FC II	24	9	6	9	39	39	33
8	SK Super Nova II	24	7	8	9	33	36	29
9	Skanstes SK	24	8	2	14	47	51	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	24	6	5	13	37	62	23
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	24	5	4	15	31	68	19
12	RFS II	24	5	3	16	37	68	18
13	JFK Ventspils	24	3	7	14	21	48	16
14	Rezeknes FA	24	1	3	20	17	75	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	Riga FC II
FK Smiltene/BJSS	2-3 L	2-2 D
JFK Ventspils	1-0 W	1-1 D
Rezeknes FA	3-1 W	5-0 W
Marupes SC	0-5 L	0-0 D
Saldus SS/Leevon	0-3 L	1-1 D
Skanstes SK	2-6 L	3-2 W
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	2-4 L	1-3 L
JDFS Alberts	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Riga FC II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Tukums 2000/TSS II

DLLLLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
18/10	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
26/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-5	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
30/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-5	2-6	4	2	L
09/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
03/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

Riga FC II

DLLDWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	6	W
17/10	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	5-0	10	4	W
20/09	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
13/09	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
07/09	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-2	2	4	W
29/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
24/08	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-3	11	5	L
08/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
01/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Riga FC II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Riga FC II win (41%). Probabilities: FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 35%, draw 25%, Riga FC II 41%.

How many goals are expected in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Riga FC II?

The model expects 3.4 goals (FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1.63 · Riga FC II 1.77), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Tukums 2000/TSS II vs Riga FC II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.