Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Skanstes SK vs JDFS Alberts

Team pages: Skanstes SK · JDFS Alberts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Skanstes SK1.82

JDFS Alberts1.84

1X2

38% 23% 39%

Skanstes SK Draw JDFS Alberts

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Skanstes SK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDWLWL

JDFS Alberts 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Skanstes SK 1–3–2 JDFS Alberts (6 last)

JDFS Alberts4-1Skanstes SK
JDFS Alberts2-2Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK1-1JDFS Alberts
Skanstes SK1-1JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts0-1Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK0-1JDFS Alberts

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1472 vs 1530).
H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skanstes SK	JDFS Alberts
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.78

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
X	3.84 → 3.84	Pinn 3.84
2	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +51’	3.72	3.84	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanstes SK 1–3–2 JDFS Alberts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	4-1 HT 2-0	Skanstes SK
31/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	2-2 HT 2-0	Skanstes SK
20/06/25 Latvia Cup	Skanstes SK	1-1 HT 1-0	JDFS Alberts
26/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	1-1 HT 0-0	JDFS Alberts
14/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	0-1 HT 0-1	Skanstes SK
12/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	0-1 HT 0-1	JDFS Alberts

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	21	17	3	1	89	17	54
2	Valmiera FC	21	16	3	2	60	23	51
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	21	15	4	2	43	25	49
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	21	14	5	2	50	23	47
5	JDFS Alberts	21	11	4	6	42	31	37
6	Marupes SC	21	9	2	10	34	32	29
7	Skanstes SK	21	8	2	11	43	42	26
8	Riga FC II	21	7	5	9	29	37	26
9	SK Super Nova II	21	6	7	8	28	32	25
10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	21	5	3	13	27	60	18
11	FK Smiltene/BJSS	21	4	4	13	29	57	16
12	RFS II	21	4	3	14	34	62	15
13	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	21	41	15
14	Rezeknes FA	21	1	3	17	17	64	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skanstes SK	JDFS Alberts
JFK Ventspils	0-1 L	3-1 W
RFS II	4-3 W	3-1 W
Riga FC II	2-3 L	2-0 W
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	6-2 W	1-1 D
SK Super Nova II	1-1 D	1-1 D
Marupes SC	4-2 W	2-0 W
Valmiera FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JDFS Alberts (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skanstes SK

LLLWWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-3	5	6	W
07/09	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
30/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-2	6-2	2	2	W
23/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
01/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	2	W
25/07	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
11/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-3	10	4	L

JDFS Alberts

LWDDWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
12/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
05/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	10	W
29/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
22/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
08/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
03/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	3-1	12	2	W
04/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skanstes SK vs JDFS Alberts?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JDFS Alberts win (39%). Probabilities: Skanstes SK 38%, draw 23%, JDFS Alberts 39%.

How many goals are expected in Skanstes SK vs JDFS Alberts?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Skanstes SK 1.82 · JDFS Alberts 1.84), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Skanstes SK vs JDFS Alberts?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.