Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs Skanstes SK

Team pages: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners · Skanstes SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners2.54

Skanstes SK1.62

1X2

57% 20% 23%

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Draw Skanstes SK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Skanstes SK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 3–0 Skanstes SK (3 last)

Skanstes SK0-2FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Skanstes SK2-3FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners1-0Skanstes SK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (rating 1556 vs 1472).
H2H favours FK Beitar Riga/Mariners: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	Skanstes SK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.7	2.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 8.5	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.91

Under 41.79

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28
X	5.28 → 5.28	Pinn 5.28
2	6.01 → 6.01	Pinn 6.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 13.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +6’	1.28	5.28	6.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 3–0–0 Skanstes SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
02/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	2-3 HT 0-2	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
05/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	1-0 HT 0-0	Skanstes SK

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	22	18	3	1	93	17	57
2	Valmiera FC	22	16	4	2	61	24	52
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	22	16	4	2	47	25	52
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	22	14	5	3	50	27	47
5	JDFS Alberts	22	12	4	6	44	31	40
6	Marupes SC	22	10	2	10	37	34	32
7	Riga FC II	22	8	5	9	34	37	29
8	Skanstes SK	22	8	2	12	43	44	26
9	SK Super Nova II	22	6	8	8	29	33	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	22	5	4	13	32	59	19
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	22	5	3	14	29	63	18
12	RFS II	22	4	3	15	36	65	15
13	JFK Ventspils	22	3	6	13	21	45	15
14	Rezeknes FA	22	1	3	18	17	69	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	Skanstes SK
Valmiera FC	4-2 W	0-3 L
Rezeknes FA	5-0 W	5-1 W
RFS II	3-1 W	4-3 W
Riga FC II	3-1 W	2-3 L
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	4-2 W	6-2 W
SK Super Nova II	3-0 W	1-1 D
JFK Ventspils	1-1 D	0-1 L
Saldus SS/Leevon	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Beitar Riga/Mariners

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-4	7	2	L
19/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	4-2	10	4	W
12/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	1-4	17	10	L
05/09	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	5-0	11	5	W
29/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	3-1	1	5	W
09/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
31/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	10	W
25/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	13	4	D
18/07	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Skanstes SK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
20/09	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-3	5	6	W
07/09	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
30/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-2	6-2	2	2	W
23/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
08/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
01/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	2	W
25/07	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs Skanstes SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Beitar Riga/Mariners win (57%). Probabilities: FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 57%, draw 20%, Skanstes SK 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs Skanstes SK?

The model expects 4.16 goals (FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 2.54 · Skanstes SK 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Beitar Riga/Mariners vs Skanstes SK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.