Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Saldus SS/Leevon vs JDFS Alberts

Team pages: Saldus SS/Leevon · JDFS Alberts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Saldus SS/Leevon1.84

JDFS Alberts1.14

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Saldus SS/Leevon Draw JDFS Alberts

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Saldus SS/Leevon 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDWW

JDFS Alberts 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Saldus SS/Leevon 0–4–2 JDFS Alberts (6 last)

JDFS Alberts0-0Saldus SS/Leevon
Saldus SS/Leevon0-2JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts1-1Saldus SS/Leevon
Saldus SS/Leevon0-0JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts4-2Saldus SS/Leevon
JDFS Alberts0-0Saldus SS/Leevon

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saldus SS/Leevon (rating 1599 vs 1549).
H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 2-4-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Saldus SS/Leevon	JDFS Alberts
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.7 / 7.7	2.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.51 → 1.51	Pinn 1.51
X	3.99 → 3.99	Pinn 3.99
2	4.66 → 4.66	Pinn 4.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:12 +57’	1.51	3.99	4.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saldus SS/Leevon 0–4–2 JDFS Alberts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	0-0 HT 0-0	Saldus SS/Leevon
12/08/23 Latvia 1. Liga	Saldus SS/Leevon	0-2 HT 0-1	JDFS Alberts
15/04/23 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	1-1 HT 1-0	Saldus SS/Leevon
15/10/22 Latvia 1. Liga	Saldus SS/Leevon	0-0 HT 0-0	JDFS Alberts
22/06/22 Latvia Cup	JDFS Alberts	4-2 HT 3-0	Saldus SS/Leevon
18/06/22 Latvia 1. Liga	JDFS Alberts	0-0 HT 0-0	Saldus SS/Leevon

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	23	19	3	1	96	18	60
2	Valmiera FC	22	16	4	2	61	24	52
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	22	16	4	2	47	25	52
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	23	15	5	3	54	30	50
5	JDFS Alberts	22	12	4	6	44	31	40
6	Marupes SC	22	10	2	10	37	34	32
7	Riga FC II	23	8	6	9	36	39	30
8	Skanstes SK	23	8	2	13	46	48	26
9	SK Super Nova II	23	6	8	9	30	36	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	23	5	5	13	34	61	20
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	22	5	3	14	29	63	18
12	RFS II	22	4	3	15	36	65	15
13	JFK Ventspils	22	3	6	13	21	45	15
14	Rezeknes FA	22	1	3	18	17	69	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saldus SS/Leevon	JDFS Alberts
JFK Ventspils	4-0 W	3-1 W
RFS II	6-3 W	3-1 W
Riga FC II	1-1 D	2-0 W
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	3-0 W	1-1 D
SK Super Nova II	2-1 W	1-1 D
FK Smiltene/BJSS	4-2 W	3-2 W
Marupes SC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Skanstes SK	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Saldus SS/Leevon (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saldus SS/Leevon

WWWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	3	W
19/09	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-0	6-3	–	–	W
13/09	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
06/09	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	2-1	11	3	W
23/08	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	3-2	4-2	14	2	W
08/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
01/08	Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/07	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

JDFS Alberts

WDDWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
19/09	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
12/09	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
05/09	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	10	W
29/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
22/08	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
08/08	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
03/08	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/07	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	3-1	12	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saldus SS/Leevon vs JDFS Alberts?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Saldus SS/Leevon win (53%). Probabilities: Saldus SS/Leevon 53%, draw 25%, JDFS Alberts 22%.

How many goals are expected in Saldus SS/Leevon vs JDFS Alberts?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Saldus SS/Leevon 1.84 · JDFS Alberts 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Saldus SS/Leevon vs JDFS Alberts?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.