Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Marupes SC

Team pages: FK Smiltene/BJSS · Marupes SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

FK Smiltene/BJSS2.24

Marupes SC1.61

1X2

51% 22% 27%

FK Smiltene/BJSS Draw Marupes SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Smiltene/BJSS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWDW

Marupes SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDWDL

Head-to-head

FK Smiltene/BJSS 1–1–4 Marupes SC (6 last)

Marupes SC2-1FK Smiltene/BJSS
Marupes SC0-3FK Smiltene/BJSS
FK Smiltene/BJSS1-2Marupes SC
Marupes SC0-0FK Smiltene/BJSS
Marupes SC3-1FK Smiltene/BJSS
FK Smiltene/BJSS0-1Marupes SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marupes SC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Smiltene/BJSS	Marupes SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.4	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	0.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.26 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.25
X	3.82 → 3.83▲	Pinn 3.83
2	2.41 → 2.43▲	Pinn 2.43

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:23 +66’	2.26	3.82	2.41
05:01 +54’	2.25▼	3.83▲	2.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Smiltene/BJSS 1–1–4 Marupes SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Marupes SC	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Smiltene/BJSS
23/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Marupes SC	0-3 HT 0-1	FK Smiltene/BJSS
19/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Smiltene/BJSS	1-2 HT 1-0	Marupes SC
06/10/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Marupes SC	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Smiltene/BJSS
22/06/24 Latvia Cup	Marupes SC	3-1 HT 3-0	FK Smiltene/BJSS
15/06/24 Latvia 1. Liga	FK Smiltene/BJSS	0-1 HT 0-0	Marupes SC

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metta/LU	24	20	3	1	98	18	63
2	Valmiera FC	24	17	5	2	66	26	56
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	24	16	5	3	49	29	53
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	24	16	5	3	60	31	53
5	JDFS Alberts	24	13	5	6	51	33	44
6	Marupes SC	24	10	3	11	38	40	33
7	Riga FC II	24	9	6	9	39	39	33
8	SK Super Nova II	24	7	8	9	33	36	29
9	Skanstes SK	24	8	2	14	47	51	26
10	FK Smiltene/BJSS	24	6	5	13	37	62	23
11	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	24	5	4	15	31	68	19
12	RFS II	24	5	3	16	37	68	18
13	JFK Ventspils	24	3	7	14	21	48	16
14	Rezeknes FA	24	1	3	20	17	75	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Smiltene/BJSS	Marupes SC
Skanstes SK	3-1 W	2-4 L
Riga FC II	2-2 D	0-0 D
FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	3-2 W	5-0 W
SK Super Nova II	2-0 W	2-1 W
FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	4-1 W	1-6 L
JDFS Alberts	2-3 L	0-2 L
Saldus SS/Leevon	2-4 L	0-1 L
Valmiera FC	1-4 L	1-4 L
JFK Ventspils	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Smiltene/BJSS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Smiltene/BJSS

WLLLLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
17/10	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
19/09	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-1	2	10	W
05/09	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	2-3	8	10	L
29/08	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-6	–	–	L
23/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	2-3	2-4	3	2	L
08/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	3	L
02/08	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	4	W

Marupes SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-6	3	4	L
18/10	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
10/10	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	3-2	5	2	W
20/09	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
12/09	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	5-0	5-0	–	–	W
29/08	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
22/08	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	4	L
15/08	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
08/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
01/08	Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Marupes SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Smiltene/BJSS win (51%). Probabilities: FK Smiltene/BJSS 51%, draw 22%, Marupes SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Marupes SC?

The model expects 3.85 goals (FK Smiltene/BJSS 2.24 · Marupes SC 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Smiltene/BJSS vs Marupes SC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.