Prediction: Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Zhenys
| Irtysh Pavlodar | Draw | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zhenys (rating 1443 vs 1504).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Irtysh Pavlodar | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Irtysh Pavlodar 0–1–0 FK Zhenys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Irtysh Pavlodar |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 9 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Elimai Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Aktobe | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23 |
| 8 | FK Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 18 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol Kostanay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 14 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Irtysh Pavlodar | FK Zhenys |
|---|---|---|
| FC Astana | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Ulytau | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Elimai Semey | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Tobol Kostanay | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Irtysh Pavlodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Zhenys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Irtysh Pavlodar win (37%). Probabilities: Irtysh Pavlodar 37%, draw 31%, FK Zhenys 32%.
How many goals are expected in Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Zhenys?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Irtysh Pavlodar 1.14 · FK Zhenys 1.03), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Zhenys?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.