Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 15/08, 07:00

Prediction: Brindabella Blues FC vs Tigers FC

Team pages: Brindabella Blues FC · Tigers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

Brindabella Blues FC1.23

Tigers FC3.23

1X2

6% 10% 84%

Brindabella Blues FC Draw Tigers FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

Brindabella Blues FC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Tigers FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brindabella Blues FC 0–1 Tigers FC (1 last)

Tigers FC7-0Brindabella Blues FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brindabella Blues FC 1402 · Tigers FC 1578

	Brindabella Blues FC	Draw	Tigers FC
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	3%	6%	91%

Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1402 vs 1578).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brindabella Blues FC	Tigers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 3.1	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 1.8	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

134.00

X15.00

21.04

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4)1.85

2 (-4)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.95

Under 4.751.85

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:32 +4’	34.00	15.00	1.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brindabella Blues FC 0–0–1 Tigers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Tigers FC	7-0 HT 3-0	Brindabella Blues FC

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	18	15	1	2	57	22	46
2	Monaro Panthers	18	14	1	3	64	23	43
3	Tigers FC	19	13	2	4	53	23	41
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	18	11	0	7	38	35	33
6	Queanbeyan City	18	10	2	6	39	27	32
7	Canberra Olympic	18	5	2	11	37	50	17
8	O'Connor Knights	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
9	Belconnen United	18	2	3	13	24	43	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	18	3	0	15	10	55	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	18	2	1	15	16	52	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brindabella Blues FC	Tigers FC
Tuggeranong Utd	0-6 L	4-1 W
Queanbeyan City	0-3 L	2-2 D
Canberra White Eagles	1-2 L	2-0 W
Canberra Croatia FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Monaro Panthers	0-9 L	0-2 L
Canberra Juventus	0-2 L	5-1 W
O'Connor Knights	1-0 W	1-0 W
Belconnen United	1-4 L	1-0 W
Canberra Olympic	0-3 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 8 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Brindabella Blues FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-4	0-6	2	1	L
01/08	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
29/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
25/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
11/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	7	L
04/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	0-9	2	0	L
28/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
20/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
13/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-4	3	4	L
30/05	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-3	0	3	L

Tigers FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	5-2	3	2	W
01/08	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	2	W
22/07	Western Sydney Wanderers Australia Cup	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
11/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
04/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
27/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
14/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
10/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tigers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigers FC win (84%). Probabilities: Brindabella Blues FC 6%, draw 10%, Tigers FC 84%.

How many goals are expected in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tigers FC?

The model expects 4.46 goals (Brindabella Blues FC 1.23 · Tigers FC 3.23), with a 55% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brindabella Blues FC vs Tigers FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.