Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 16/08, 08:30

Prediction: Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City

Team pages: Canberra Juventus · Queanbeyan City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Canberra Juventus1.84

Queanbeyan City1.99

1X2

36% 23% 42%

Canberra Juventus Draw Queanbeyan City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra Juventus 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLLW

Queanbeyan City 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDDLWW

Head-to-head

Canberra Juventus 0–5 Queanbeyan City (5 last)

Queanbeyan City3-1Canberra Juventus
Canberra Juventus0-2Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City6-1Canberra Juventus
Canberra Juventus1-4Queanbeyan City
Queanbeyan City2-0Canberra Juventus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Juventus 1489 · Queanbeyan City 1536

	Canberra Juventus	Draw	Queanbeyan City
Our model	36%	23%	42%
Market	36%	22%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queanbeyan City (rating 1489 vs 1536).
H2H favours Queanbeyan City: 5-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra Juventus	Queanbeyan City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.1	2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +3’	2.50	4.00	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Juventus 0–0–5 Queanbeyan City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Queanbeyan City	3-1 HT 1-0	Canberra Juventus
07/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Canberra Juventus	0-2 HT 0-1	Queanbeyan City
20/07/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	6-1 HT 3-0	Canberra Juventus
25/05/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra Juventus	1-4 HT 0-3	Queanbeyan City
22/05/24 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Queanbeyan City	2-0 HT 2-0	Canberra Juventus

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	18	15	1	2	57	22	46
2	Monaro Panthers	18	14	1	3	64	23	43
3	Tigers FC	19	13	2	4	53	23	41
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	18	11	0	7	38	35	33
6	Queanbeyan City	18	10	2	6	39	27	32
7	Canberra Olympic	18	5	2	11	37	50	17
8	O'Connor Knights	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
9	Belconnen United	18	2	3	13	24	43	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	18	3	0	15	10	55	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	18	2	1	15	16	52	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra Juventus	Queanbeyan City
Canberra White Eagles	4-2 W	2-1 W
Canberra Croatia FC	0-4 L	2-4 L
Monaro Panthers	0-3 L	1-2 L
Belconnen United	1-0 W	2-1 W
Brindabella Blues FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Tigers FC	1-5 L	2-2 D
Canberra Olympic	3-2 W	2-2 D
Tuggeranong Utd	5-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Queanbeyan City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canberra Juventus

WWLWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-1	4-2	10	5	W
02/08	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
26/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
21/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-3	2-5	4	2	L
11/07	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
04/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
28/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
14/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
10/06	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	3-2	9	15	W
30/05	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	5-0	12	3	W

Queanbeyan City

LLWWLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	4-2	5	3	W
01/08	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
29/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
25/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	2-2	6	1	D
07/07	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
27/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
20/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-5	1	1	L
10/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-4	0	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queanbeyan City win (42%). Probabilities: Canberra Juventus 36%, draw 23%, Queanbeyan City 42%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Canberra Juventus 1.84 · Queanbeyan City 1.99), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.