Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 25/07, 06:30
Prediction: Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Canberra Olympic1.66
Queanbeyan City2.28
1X2
Canberra Olympic
Draw
Queanbeyan City
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Canberra Olympic
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Queanbeyan City
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canberra Olympic
1–1
Queanbeyan City
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canberra Olympic 1456 · Queanbeyan City 1546
| Canberra Olympic | Draw | Queanbeyan City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 21% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queanbeyan City (rating 1456 vs 1546).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canberra Olympic | Queanbeyan City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.7 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Olympic 1–0–1 Queanbeyan City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Queanbeyan City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Canberra Olympic |
| 31/03/19 Australia FFA Cup | Canberra Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Queanbeyan City |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Croatia FC | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 20 | 32 |
| 4 | Canberra Juventus | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 30 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Canberra Olympic | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 16 |
| 8 | O'Connor Knights | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 15 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 44 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Olympic | Queanbeyan City |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra White Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Canberra Croatia FC | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| O'Connor Knights | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Monaro Panthers | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Canberra Juventus | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Belconnen United | 4-4 D | 2-1 W |
| Tigers FC | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Queanbeyan City (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 15 | L |
| 30/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
4-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
Queanbeyan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 07/07 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Queanbeyan City win (51%). Probabilities: Canberra Olympic 27%, draw 21%, Queanbeyan City 51%.
How many goals are expected in Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Canberra Olympic 1.66 · Queanbeyan City 2.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Canberra Olympic vs Queanbeyan City?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.