Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 15/08, 07:00

Prediction: O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles

Team pages: O'Connor Knights · Canberra White Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

O'Connor Knights1.99

Canberra White Eagles1.16

1X2

56% 22% 22%

O'Connor Knights Draw Canberra White Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

O'Connor Knights 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDDL

Canberra White Eagles 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

O'Connor Knights 3–2–1 Canberra White Eagles (6 last)

Canberra White Eagles0-2O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles2-0O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles0-2O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles2-2O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles1-1O'Connor Knights
Canberra White Eagles1-2O'Connor Knights

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · O'Connor Knights 1448 · Canberra White Eagles 1443

	O'Connor Knights	Draw	Canberra White Eagles
Our model	56%	24%	21%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours O'Connor Knights: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	O'Connor Knights	Canberra White Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:20 +4’	1.57	4.33	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Connor Knights 3–2–1 Canberra White Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra White Eagles	0-2 HT 0-1	O'Connor Knights
09/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Canberra White Eagles	2-0 HT 1-0	O'Connor Knights
19/06/21 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra White Eagles	0-2 HT 0-1	O'Connor Knights
18/07/20 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra White Eagles	2-2 HT 1-1	O'Connor Knights
01/09/19 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra White Eagles	1-1 HT 0-0	O'Connor Knights
30/06/18 Australia Capital Territory State League	Canberra White Eagles	1-2	O'Connor Knights

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	18	15	1	2	57	22	46
2	Monaro Panthers	18	14	1	3	64	23	43
3	Tigers FC	19	13	2	4	53	23	41
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	18	11	0	7	38	35	33
6	Queanbeyan City	18	10	2	6	39	27	32
7	Canberra Olympic	18	5	2	11	37	50	17
8	O'Connor Knights	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
9	Belconnen United	18	2	3	13	24	43	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	18	3	0	15	10	55	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	18	2	1	15	16	52	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	O'Connor Knights	Canberra White Eagles
Canberra Croatia FC	4-5 L	1-2 L
Monaro Panthers	1-1 D	1-2 L
Belconnen United	1-1 D	2-1 W
Canberra Juventus	0-2 L	2-4 L
Canberra Olympic	1-0 W	1-2 L
Brindabella Blues FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Tuggeranong Utd	2-3 L	1-2 L
Tigers FC	0-1 L	0-2 L
Queanbeyan City	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	2 W 0 D 7 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

O'Connor Knights

WLLLLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	3-2	4-5	2	4	L
01/08	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
25/07	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
11/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
27/06	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
20/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	15	3	L
13/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	2-3	5	1	L
10/06	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
30/05	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-4	3	2	L
23/05	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Canberra White Eagles

LLWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
25/07	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
11/07	Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-2	7	5	L
04/07	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
27/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
17/06	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
10/06	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
23/05	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a O'Connor Knights win (56%). Probabilities: O'Connor Knights 56%, draw 22%, Canberra White Eagles 22%.

How many goals are expected in O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles?

The model expects 3.15 goals (O'Connor Knights 1.99 · Canberra White Eagles 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.