Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 16/08, 06:30

Prediction: Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic

Team pages: Belconnen United · Canberra Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Belconnen United1.71

Canberra Olympic2.09

1X2

31% 23% 46%

Belconnen United Draw Canberra Olympic

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Belconnen United 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLDLL

Canberra Olympic 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Belconnen United 2–2–2 Canberra Olympic (6 last)

Canberra Olympic4-4Belconnen United
Belconnen United1-2Canberra Olympic
Canberra Olympic2-4Belconnen United
Belconnen United1-0Canberra Olympic
Canberra Olympic2-2Belconnen United
Belconnen United0-2Canberra Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belconnen United 1405 · Canberra Olympic 1453

	Belconnen United	Draw	Canberra Olympic
Our model	31%	23%	46%
Market	31%	23%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Olympic (rating 1405 vs 1453).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belconnen United	Canberra Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.8	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.00

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:44 +7’	2.88	4.00	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belconnen United 2–2–2 Canberra Olympic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League	Canberra Olympic	4-4 HT 2-2	Belconnen United
06/09/25 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Belconnen United	1-2 HT 1-1	Canberra Olympic
09/08/25 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra Olympic	2-4 HT 1-2	Belconnen United
21/06/25 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Belconnen United	1-0 HT 0-0	Canberra Olympic
26/04/25 Australia Capital Territory NPL2	Canberra Olympic	2-2 HT 1-0	Belconnen United
09/05/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Belconnen United	0-2 HT 0-2	Canberra Olympic

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Canberra Croatia FC	18	15	1	2	57	22	46
2	Monaro Panthers	18	14	1	3	64	23	43
3	Tigers FC	19	13	2	4	53	23	41
4	Tuggeranong Utd	19	13	0	6	47	39	39
5	Canberra Juventus	18	11	0	7	38	35	33
6	Queanbeyan City	18	10	2	6	39	27	32
7	Canberra Olympic	18	5	2	11	37	50	17
8	O'Connor Knights	18	5	2	11	21	37	17
9	Belconnen United	18	2	3	13	24	43	9
10	Brindabella Blues FC	18	3	0	15	10	55	9
11	Canberra White Eagles	18	2	1	15	16	52	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belconnen United	Canberra Olympic
Monaro Panthers	0-7 L	2-5 L
Tigers FC	0-1 L	2-5 L
O'Connor Knights	1-1 D	0-1 L
Tuggeranong Utd	0-1 L	1-2 L
Canberra Juventus	0-1 L	2-3 L
Queanbeyan City	1-2 L	2-2 D
Brindabella Blues FC	4-1 W	3-0 W
Canberra White Eagles	1-2 L	2-1 W
Canberra Croatia FC	1-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Canberra Olympic (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belconnen United

LLLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-7	2	2	L
01/08	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
25/07	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
11/07	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
04/07	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
20/06	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
13/06	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	4-1	3	4	W
10/06	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
03/06	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	1-3	4	0	L
30/05	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	2	L

Canberra Olympic

DWLLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	2-5	3	2	L
01/08	Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
25/07	Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
11/07	Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
05/07	Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
27/06	O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
20/06	Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League	1-2	2-5	2	4	L
10/06	Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-2	2-3	2	15	L
30/05	Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
23/05	Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League	2-2	4-4	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Canberra Olympic win (46%). Probabilities: Belconnen United 31%, draw 23%, Canberra Olympic 46%.

How many goals are expected in Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Belconnen United 1.71 · Canberra Olympic 2.09), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.