Prediction: Monaro Panthers vs Brindabella Blues FC

Expected goals: 4.54 (Monaro Panthers 3.27 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.27). The model gives 82% home, 10% draw, 8% away. Under 5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.

On recent form, Monaro Panthers is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Brindabella Blues FC 2-0-8 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Monaro Panthers and 0 for Brindabella Blues FC.

82%1
82% 10% 8%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monaro Panthers 1587 · Brindabella Blues FC 1401
Monaro PanthersDrawBrindabella Blues FC
Our model75%14%11%
Market88%7%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.54Monaro Panthers 3.27 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.27
Over / Under 5Under 5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaro Panthers (rating 1587 vs 1401).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Monaro PanthersBrindabella Blues FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.90.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 10.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.60.6 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.32.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaro Panthers 100 Brindabella Blues FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Brindabella Blues FC0-3
HT 0-1
Monaro Panthers

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Canberra Croatia FC 131012 381631
2 Monaro Panthers 131003 422130
3 Tigers FC 14914 391828
4 Tuggeranong Utd 13904 332927
5 Queanbeyan City 12804 271724
6 Canberra Juventus 12804 292124
7 O'Connor Knights 14509 152815
8 Canberra Olympic 13418 303713
9 Belconnen United 13229 23328
10 Brindabella Blues FC 122010 7336
11 Canberra White Eagles 131111 10414

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonaro PanthersBrindabella Blues FC
Tigers FC 2-0 W 0-7 L
Canberra Olympic 5-2 W 0-3 L
Tuggeranong Utd 6-1 W 1-5 L
Canberra White Eagles 2-1 W 2-0 W
Canberra Croatia FC 1-4 L 0-2 L
Belconnen United 3-1 W 1-4 L
O'Connor Knights 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monaro Panthers

LLWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 2-0 46 W
20/06 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-1 5-2 54 W
13/06 Queanbeyan City
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-1 5-2 61 W
10/06 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
4-0 6-1 81 W
30/05 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-1 2-1 92 W
24/05 Canberra Croatia FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-3 1-4 46 L
20/05 Tigers FC
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-1 1-3 43 L
16/05 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 3-1 101 W
13/05 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-2 1-3 45 L
09/05 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-1 1-2 125 L

Brindabella Blues FC

LLWLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Canberra Juventus
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-2 36 L
20/06 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-0 23 W
13/06 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-4 34 L
30/05 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-3 03 L
23/05 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-3 0-7 00 L
16/05 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-5 90 L
13/05 Canberra Juventus
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-1 04 L
02/05 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-0 2-0 64 W
24/04 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-2 21 L
18/04 Canberra Croatia FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-1 0-2 04 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monaro Panthers vs Brindabella Blues FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monaro Panthers win (82%). Probabilities: Monaro Panthers 82%, draw 10%, Brindabella Blues FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Monaro Panthers vs Brindabella Blues FC?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Monaro Panthers 3.27 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.27), with a 56% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Monaro Panthers vs Brindabella Blues FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.