Prediction: Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City
Expected goals: 3.34 (Tigers FC 2.07 · Queanbeyan City 1.28). The model gives 55% home, 22% draw, 23% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tigers FC sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while Queanbeyan City arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Tigers FC and 0 for Queanbeyan City, with 1 draw.
| Tigers FC | Draw | Queanbeyan City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigers FC (rating 1609 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Tigers FC: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigers FC | Queanbeyan City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.9 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigers FC 4–1–0 Queanbeyan City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Queanbeyan City | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tigers FC |
| 30/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Queanbeyan City |
| 19/07/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tigers FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Queanbeyan City |
| 24/05/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Queanbeyan City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tigers FC |
| 20/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Queanbeyan City | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Tigers FC |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Canberra Juventus | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 7 | O'Connor Knights | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 8 | Canberra Olympic | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 13 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 42 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigers FC | Queanbeyan City |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra White Eagles | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Monaro Panthers | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Canberra Croatia FC | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Canberra Juventus | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| O'Connor Knights | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Canberra Olympic | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigers FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Queanbeyan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigers FC win (55%). Probabilities: Tigers FC 55%, draw 22%, Queanbeyan City 23%.
How many goals are expected in Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Tigers FC 2.07 · Queanbeyan City 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.