Prediction: Canberra Juventus vs O'Connor Knights
Expected goals: 3.49 (Canberra Juventus 2.29 · O'Connor Knights 1.2). The model gives 62% home, 20% draw, 19% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Canberra Juventus is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and O'Connor Knights 4-0-6 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Canberra Juventus won 1 and O'Connor Knights 0.
| Canberra Juventus | Draw | O'Connor Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 19% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Juventus (rating 1539 vs 1452).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canberra Juventus | O'Connor Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7.6 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Juventus 1–0–0 O'Connor Knights
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | O'Connor Knights | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Canberra Juventus |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Canberra Juventus | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 7 | O'Connor Knights | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 8 | Canberra Olympic | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 13 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 42 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Juventus | O'Connor Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Belconnen United | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Brindabella Blues FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Tigers FC | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Canberra Olympic | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Tuggeranong Utd | 5-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Queanbeyan City | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Canberra White Eagles | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Monaro Panthers | 3-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Canberra Juventus (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 15 | W |
| 30/05 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Queanbeyan City Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
O'Connor Knights
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Juventus vs O'Connor Knights?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Canberra Juventus win (62%). Probabilities: Canberra Juventus 62%, draw 20%, O'Connor Knights 19%.
How many goals are expected in Canberra Juventus vs O'Connor Knights?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Canberra Juventus 2.29 · O'Connor Knights 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Canberra Juventus vs O'Connor Knights?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.