Prediction: Tuggeranong Utd vs Belconnen United
Expected goals: 4.28 (Tuggeranong Utd 2.52 · Belconnen United 1.75). The model gives 54% home, 20% draw, 26% away. Over 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Tuggeranong Utd with 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Belconnen United has piled up 1-1-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tuggeranong Utd won 1 and Belconnen United 3, with 2 draws.
| Tuggeranong Utd | Draw | Belconnen United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuggeranong Utd (rating 1543 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Belconnen United: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tuggeranong Utd | Belconnen United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.7 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuggeranong Utd 1–2–3 Belconnen United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Belconnen United | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Tuggeranong Utd |
| 25/07/21 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tuggeranong Utd | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Belconnen United |
| 29/05/21 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Belconnen United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tuggeranong Utd |
| 11/04/21 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tuggeranong Utd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Belconnen United |
| 09/08/20 Australia Capital Territory Premier League | Tuggeranong Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belconnen United |
| 03/08/19 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women | Belconnen United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tuggeranong Utd |
Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaro Panthers | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Canberra Croatia FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Tigers FC | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Canberra Juventus | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | Tuggeranong Utd | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Queanbeyan City | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 7 | O'Connor Knights | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 15 |
| 8 | Canberra Olympic | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 13 |
| 9 | Belconnen United | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 8 |
| 10 | Brindabella Blues FC | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 42 | 6 |
| 11 | Canberra White Eagles | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tuggeranong Utd | Belconnen United |
|---|---|---|
| Canberra Croatia FC | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| O'Connor Knights | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Monaro Panthers | 1-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Canberra Juventus | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Brindabella Blues FC | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Canberra Olympic | 6-4 W | 4-4 D |
| Tigers FC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Canberra White Eagles | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Tuggeranong Utd (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuggeranong Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-4 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Belconnen United Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-4 | 6-4 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Belconnen United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Canberra Juventus Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Queanbeyan City Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brindabella Blues FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Canberra White Eagles Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Tuggeranong Utd Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Canberra Croatia FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Canberra Olympic Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Monaro Panthers Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Tigers FC Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | O'Connor Knights Australia Capital Territory Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuggeranong Utd vs Belconnen United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tuggeranong Utd win (54%). Probabilities: Tuggeranong Utd 54%, draw 20%, Belconnen United 26%.
How many goals are expected in Tuggeranong Utd vs Belconnen United?
The model expects 4.28 goals (Tuggeranong Utd 2.52 · Belconnen United 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tuggeranong Utd vs Belconnen United?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.