Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League · 07/07, 11:30

Prediction: Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City

Expected goals: 4.08 (Monaro Panthers 2.68 · Queanbeyan City 1.41). The model gives 64% home, 18% draw, 18% away. Under 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, Monaro Panthers is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Queanbeyan City 8-0-2 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Monaro Panthers won 2 and Queanbeyan City 2.

64%1
64% 18% 18%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monaro Panthers 1587 · Queanbeyan City 1562
Monaro PanthersDrawQueanbeyan City
Our model64%18%18%
Market64%18%18%
Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.08Monaro Panthers 2.68 · Queanbeyan City 1.41
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Monaro PanthersQueanbeyan City
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 1.72.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.91.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.31.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaro Panthers 202 Queanbeyan City

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Queanbeyan City2-5
HT 1-2
Monaro Panthers
23/08/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Queanbeyan City0-2
HT 0-0
Monaro Panthers
05/07/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Monaro Panthers1-2
HT 0-1
Queanbeyan City
10/05/25
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Queanbeyan City2-1
HT 1-1
Monaro Panthers

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaro Panthers 141103 512133
2 Canberra Croatia FC 131012 381631
3 Tigers FC 151014 411831
4 Canberra Juventus 13904 302127
5 Tuggeranong Utd 13904 332927
6 Queanbeyan City 12804 271724
7 O'Connor Knights 14509 152815
8 Canberra Olympic 13418 303713
9 Belconnen United 142210 23338
10 Brindabella Blues FC 132011 7426
11 Canberra White Eagles 141112 10434

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMonaro PanthersQueanbeyan City
Canberra Olympic 5-2 W 1-0 W
Canberra White Eagles 2-1 W 2-1 W
Canberra Croatia FC 1-4 L 2-4 L
Belconnen United 3-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monaro Panthers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monaro Panthers

LWLLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Brindabella Blues FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
3-0 9-0 90 W
27/06 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 2-0 46 W
20/06 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-1 5-2 54 W
13/06 Queanbeyan City
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-1 5-2 61 W
10/06 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
4-0 6-1 81 W
30/05 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-1 2-1 92 W
24/05 Canberra Croatia FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-3 1-4 46 L
20/05 Tigers FC
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-1 1-3 43 L
16/05 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 3-1 101 W
13/05 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-2 1-3 45 L

Queanbeyan City

WWWWWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 2-1 53 W
20/06 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 2-1 63 W
13/06 Monaro Panthers
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-2 2-5 11 L
10/06 Canberra Croatia FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-2 2-4 07 L
30/05 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 4-0 82 W
23/05 Canberra Juventus
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 3-1 03 W
12/05 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-0 3-0 123 W
07/05 Canberra Juventus
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-0 2-0 64 W
02/05 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-0 38 W
24/04 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
3-1 4-1 86 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monaro Panthers win (64%). Probabilities: Monaro Panthers 64%, draw 18%, Queanbeyan City 18%.

How many goals are expected in Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City?

The model expects 4.08 goals (Monaro Panthers 2.68 · Queanbeyan City 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Monaro Panthers vs Queanbeyan City?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.