Prediction: Canberra Croatia FC vs Brindabella Blues FC

Expected goals: 4.93 (Canberra Croatia FC 3.46 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.46). The model gives 84% home, 9% draw, 7% away. Under 5.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 3-1.

On recent form, Canberra Croatia FC is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Brindabella Blues FC 2-0-8 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Canberra Croatia FC and 0 for Brindabella Blues FC.

84%1
84% 9% 7%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Croatia FC 1598 · Brindabella Blues FC 1397
Canberra Croatia FCDrawBrindabella Blues FC
Our model75%14%12%
Market93%5%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.93 goals · Bet365 line 5.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.93Canberra Croatia FC 3.46 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.46
Over / Under 5.5Under 5.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Croatia FC (rating 1598 vs 1397).
  • H2H favours Canberra Croatia FC: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Canberra Croatia FCBrindabella Blues FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.60.6 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.50.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 7.20.7 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.42.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Croatia FC 300 Brindabella Blues FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
Brindabella Blues FC0-2
HT 0-1
Canberra Croatia FC
08/04/26
Australia Cup Qualifying
Brindabella Blues FC2-4
HT 1-1
Canberra Croatia FC
10/04/19
Australia FFA Cup
Canberra Croatia FC6-1
HT 3-0
Brindabella Blues FC

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Monaro Panthers 151203 532236
2 Canberra Croatia FC 141112 411634
3 Tigers FC 151014 411831
4 Canberra Juventus 13904 302127
5 Tuggeranong Utd 13904 332927
6 Queanbeyan City 13805 281924
7 O'Connor Knights 14509 152815
8 Canberra Olympic 14419 304013
9 Belconnen United 142210 23338
10 Brindabella Blues FC 132011 7426
11 Canberra White Eagles 141112 10434

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCanberra Croatia FCBrindabella Blues FC
Canberra Olympic 3-0 W 0-3 L
Tuggeranong Utd 1-2 L 1-5 L
Tigers FC 1-1 D 0-7 L
Canberra White Eagles 2-1 W 2-0 W
Belconnen United 4-1 W 1-4 L
Monaro Panthers 4-1 W 0-9 L
O'Connor Knights 5-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Canberra Croatia FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canberra Croatia FC

WWWWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-0 3-0 72 W
28/06 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-1 1-2 131 L
20/06 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
1-1 1-1 33 D
17/06 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 2-1 196 W
10/06 Queanbeyan City
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-1 4-2 47 W
06/06 Tigers FC
Australia Cup Qualifying
1-1 1-5 38 L
30/05 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-0 4-1 32 W
24/05 Monaro Panthers
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
3-1 4-1 36 W
16/05 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
3-0 5-1 32 W
13/05 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 3-2 141 W

Brindabella Blues FC

LWLLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Monaro Panthers
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-3 0-9 20 L
28/06 Canberra Juventus
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-2 36 L
20/06 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-0 23 W
13/06 Belconnen United
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-4 34 L
30/05 Canberra Olympic
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-3 03 L
23/05 Tigers FC
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-3 0-7 00 L
16/05 Tuggeranong Utd
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-5 90 L
13/05 Canberra Juventus
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 0-1 04 L
02/05 Canberra White Eagles
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
2-0 2-0 64 W
24/04 O'Connor Knights
Australia Capital Territory Premier League
0-0 1-2 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Croatia FC vs Brindabella Blues FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canberra Croatia FC win (84%). Probabilities: Canberra Croatia FC 84%, draw 9%, Brindabella Blues FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Croatia FC vs Brindabella Blues FC?

The model expects 4.93 goals (Canberra Croatia FC 3.46 · Brindabella Blues FC 1.46), with a 56% chance of under 5.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Croatia FC vs Brindabella Blues FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.