Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/09, 20:30

Prediction: CA Atlanta vs Agropecuario

Team pages: CA Atlanta · Agropecuario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

CA Atlanta1.31

Agropecuario0.74

1X2

49% 30% 20%

CA Atlanta Draw Agropecuario

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Atlanta 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLWW

Agropecuario 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWLDWL

Head-to-head

CA Atlanta 0–2–4 Agropecuario (6 last)

Agropecuario0-0CA Atlanta
Agropecuario1-0CA Atlanta
CA Atlanta0-3Agropecuario
Agropecuario1-0CA Atlanta
CA Atlanta2-3Agropecuario
Agropecuario2-2CA Atlanta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1503 · Agropecuario 1520

	CA Atlanta	Draw	Agropecuario
Our model	49%	31%	20%
Market	50%	30%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Agropecuario: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Atlanta	Agropecuario
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.9	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:07 +2’	1.85	3.10	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 0–2–4 Agropecuario

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlanta
09/07/22 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlanta
04/10/21 Argentina Nacional B	CA Atlanta	0-3 HT 0-3	Agropecuario
11/06/21 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlanta
13/12/20 Argentina Nacional B	CA Atlanta	2-3 HT 2-2	Agropecuario
02/11/19 Argentina Nacional B	Agropecuario	2-2 HT 1-0	CA Atlanta

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Atletico Temperley	30	14	11	5	36	24	53
2	Gimnasia Jujuy	30	15	8	7	45	36	53
3	Tristan Suarez	28	13	11	4	28	14	50
4	CA Atlanta	29	15	3	11	34	28	48
5	Ferrocarril Midland	30	13	8	9	34	25	47
6	San Martin SJ	30	12	9	9	33	27	45
7	Gimnasia y Tiro	30	12	9	9	31	27	45
8	Atletico Rafaela	30	11	9	10	25	26	42
9	Deportivo Maipu	30	11	8	11	37	31	41
10	CA Colegiales	30	11	7	12	29	30	40
11	San Martin de Tucuman	30	9	12	9	32	30	39
12	Agropecuario	30	9	9	12	26	34	36
13	Quilmes	30	9	8	13	28	27	35
14	Almagro	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
15	Nueva Chicago	29	8	8	13	21	28	32
16	Patronato Parana	29	5	15	9	23	30	30
17	Chacarita Juniors	30	8	6	16	22	31	30
18	CA Guemes	29	5	8	16	22	48	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Atlanta	Agropecuario
CA Guemes	2-0 W	3-0 W
Chacarita Juniors	1-0 W	1-2 L
San Martin SJ	0-1 L	2-1 W
Nueva Chicago	1-0 W	1-1 D
Club Atletico Temperley	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atlanta

WLLWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
05/09	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
30/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
26/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
22/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
09/08	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
02/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	2-2	2-4	2	5	L
28/07	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-3	1-3	5	2	L
14/07	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Agropecuario

DDWLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	1	5	L
06/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
01/09	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
22/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
15/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	10	W
08/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
02/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/07	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/07	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (49%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 49%, draw 30%, Agropecuario 20%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

The model expects 2.05 goals (CA Atlanta 1.31 · Agropecuario 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs Agropecuario?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.