Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 08/10, 21:00
Prediction: Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
Team pages: Shamrock Rovers · Drogheda United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Shamrock Rovers1.95
Drogheda United0.75
1X2
Shamrock Rovers
Draw
Drogheda United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shamrock Rovers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Drogheda United
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shamrock Rovers
3–3–0
Drogheda United
(6 last)
- Drogheda United0-0Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers4-1Drogheda United
- Drogheda United0-0Shamrock Rovers
- Drogheda United1-1Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers2-1Drogheda United
- Drogheda United1-2Shamrock Rovers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shamrock Rovers 1535 · Drogheda United 1471
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (rating 1535 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shamrock Rovers | Drogheda United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shamrock Rovers 3–3–0 Drogheda United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 04/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Drogheda United |
| 16/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 12/09/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Drogheda United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 31/08/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Drogheda United |
| 16/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Drogheda United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Shamrock Rovers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | 23 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shamrock Rovers | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| St Patricks | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Shelbourne | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Dundalk | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Sligo Rovers | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Galway United | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Drogheda United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shamrock Rovers win (65%). Probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 65%, draw 22%, Drogheda United 13%.
How many goals are expected in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Shamrock Rovers 1.95 · Drogheda United 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.