Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 16/10, 20:45
Prediction: St Patricks vs Shelbourne
Team pages: St Patricks · Shelbourne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
St Patricks1.72
Shelbourne0.75
1X2
St Patricks
Draw
Shelbourne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
St Patricks
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Shelbourne
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Patricks
3–1–2
Shelbourne
(6 last)
- Shelbourne1-2St Patricks
- St Patricks0-1Shelbourne
- Shelbourne2-3St Patricks
- Shelbourne0-0St Patricks
- St Patricks2-0Shelbourne
- St Patricks0-1Shelbourne
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Patricks (rating 1557 vs 1466).
- H2H favours St Patricks: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Patricks | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Patricks 3–1–2 Shelbourne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 1-2 HT 0-2 | St Patricks |
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shelbourne |
| 06/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 2-3 HT 0-0 | St Patricks |
| 01/11/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shelbourne | 0-0 HT 0-0 | St Patricks |
| 17/08/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | St Patricks | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shelbourne |
| 16/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shelbourne |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
| 5 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 41 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 59 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Patricks | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Dundalk | 4-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Shamrock Rovers | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Waterford FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Drogheda United | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Derry City | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Galway United | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: St Patricks (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Shelbourne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 25/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Patricks vs Shelbourne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Patricks win (60%). Probabilities: St Patricks 60%, draw 26%, Shelbourne 15%.
How many goals are expected in St Patricks vs Shelbourne?
The model expects 2.47 goals (St Patricks 1.72 · Shelbourne 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in St Patricks vs Shelbourne?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.